Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 7-30-23 MLB Picks

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30 July 2023

Kansas City Royals vs Minnesota Twins Prediction 7-30-23 MLB Picks

The Twins and Royals clash Sunday in game 3 of an MLB series at Kauffman Stadium. Let’s preview this game and give out a pick and prediction.

Twins Betting Preview

The Twins look to snap a rough 4-game losing streak. The Twins still lead the AL Central, but they need to stop the bleeding rather quickly. The Twins pitching staff is 5th in ERA (3.83), 1st in WHIP (1.17) and 1st in quality starts (53). The Twins offense is 19th in runs per game (4.40), 22nd in batting average (.237) and 8th in homers (139). Carlos Correa leads the Twins with 83 hits and 45 RBI, while Donovan Solano and Alex Kirilloff have combined for 125 hits and 55 RBI. Kenta Maeda gets the ball, and he is 2-5 with a 4.62 ERA and 58 strikeouts this season. Maeda is 3-0 with a 1.00 ERA and 24 strikeouts in his career against the Royals.

Minnesota Twins Team Facts

The Twins have lost seven of their last eight games as road favourites against the Royals following a loss.
The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight games as road favourites against the Royals following a loss.
The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as favourites against AL Central opponents.
The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in three of their last four games as favourites against AL Central opponents.
The Twins have led after 7 innings in each of their last six day games against the Royals.

Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts

Kenta Maeda has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as a road favourite against AL Central opponents.
Donovan Solano has hit a home run in two of the Twins' last three day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Michael A. Taylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 Sunday appearances at Kauffman Stadium.
Michael A. Taylor has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 13 Sunday appearances at Kauffman Stadium.
Byron Buxton has scored at least one run in 11 of his last 12 appearances at Kauffman Stadium against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Jorge Polanco has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four road appearances against the Royals.
Willi Castro ranks 6th in the league in Steals (26) this season.

Royals Betting Preview

The Royals look to play spoiler after winning 3 of their last 5 games. The Royals have seen 16.1 percent of their season's wins come since the all star break. The Royals pitching staff is 28th in ERA (5.25), 25th in WHIP (1.43) and 29th in quality starts (20). The Royals' offense is 29th in runs per game (3.72), 25th in batting average (.233) and 27th in homers (94). Bobby Witt Jr. leads the Royals with 111 hits and 60 RBI, while Salvador Perez and MJ Melendez have combined for 168 hits and 79 RBI. Ryan Yarbrough gets the ball, and he is 3-5 with a 4.70 ERA and 24 strikeouts this season. Yarbrough is 1-1 with a 5.82 ERA and 14 strikeouts in his career against the Twins.

Kansas City Royals Team Facts

The home team has won each of the last six games between the Twins and Royals.
The home team has covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Twins and Royals.
The 'Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs' market has hit in each of the Royals' last three day games.
The Royals have lost the first inning in each of their last three day games against American League opponents.
The Royals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against American League opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

Ryan Yarbrough has recorded four or more strikeouts in nine of his last 12 home appearances against AL Central opponents.
Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight appearances in day games.
Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in seven of the Royals' last eight games against the Twins.
Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in four of the Royals' last five home games against opponents that held a winning record.
Edward Olivares has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Royals' last eight home games against opponents that held a winning record.
Bobby Witt Jr. ranks T4th in the league in Steals (29) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Kansas City Royals ranks 1st in the league for triples this season (28).
The Kansas City Royals ranks 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.295).
The Minnesota Twins ranks 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1020).
The Minnesota Twins ranks 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1098).

Randy’s Pick

The Twins should be able to rebound from this losing streak sooner than later, but this pitching matchup seems about even, and that has me leaning toward the plus money. Kenta Maeda isn't scaring anybody with his 4.62 ERA and 1.25 WHIP, and the Twins haven't had a ton of success with him on the mound. The Royals have a pep in their step for the first time this season, and this week is probably their best all year. The Royals sweeping anybody this year feels strange, but I'll take a stab with the plus money.