Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

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06 July 2023

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

A pair of surging power hitters meet Thursday when Christian Walker — with his two-game homer streak in tow — and the Arizona Diamondbacks (50-37) take on Francisco Alvarez (home runs in two straight) and the New York Mets (40-46). The Diamondbacks are favorites (-142) for the contest, which starts at 9:40 PM ET, live from Chase Field and broadcast on MLB Network.

Arizona’s Ryne Nelson and New York’s Carlos Carrasco have been named the starters for this contest.

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Odds

Diamondbacks odds to win: -142
Mets odds to win: +120
Spread: Diamondbacks -1.5
Total: 10 runs

Diamondbacks vs. Mets Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

Date: Thursday, July 6, 2023
Time: 9:40 PM ET
TV: MLB Network

Who Will Win Diamondbacks vs. Mets?

Diamondbacks and Mets Betting Trends

The Diamondbacks have won 26 of the 39 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (66.7%).

Arizona has gone 16-6 (winning 72.7% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -142 or shorter.

The Mets have been underdogs in 27 games this season and won eight (29.6%) of those contests.

New York has not won as an underdog of +120 or more on the moneyline this season in six such games.

In the 87 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for the Diamondbacks, they have combined with opponents to go over the total 40 times (40-42-5).

The Mets’ games have gone over the total in 37 of their 85 chances.

Diamondbacks Stats & Insights

The Diamondbacks have the No. 6 offense in MLB action scoring five runs per game (437 total runs).

Arizona is 12th in baseball with 102 total home runs.

The Diamondbacks rank seventh in MLB with a .260 batting average.

Arizona strikes out 7.8 times per game, the fourth-best mark in baseball.

The 8.4 strikeouts per nine innings put together by the Diamondbacks pitching staff ranks 21st in MLB.

Arizona has a 4.39 team ERA that ranks 19th among all MLB pitching staffs.

Mets Stats & Insights

The Mets have scored the 17th-most runs in the league this season with 386 (4.5 per game).

New York ranks ninth in Major League Baseball with 109 home runs.

The Mets’ .239 batting average ranks 21st in the league this season.

New York has shown good bat-to-ball skills at the plate this season with the third-best strikeout rate (7.8 per game) among MLB offenses.

The Mets average the 12th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.9) in the league this season.

New York has the 21st-ranked ERA (4.46) in the majors this season.

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Diamondbacks Key Players to Watch

Nelson (5-4) takes the mound for the Diamondbacks in his 18th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.67 ERA in 90 2/3 innings pitched, with 64 strikeouts.

Corbin Carroll leads Arizona in homers with 18 while also maintaining a team-best .295 batting average.

Ketel Marte is batting .284 with an OBP of .364 and a slugging percentage of .500 this season.

Walker leads Arizona in home runs with 18 and runs batted in with 57.

Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has 77 hits and an OBP of .316 to go with a slugging percentage of .490 this season.

Mets Key Players to Watch

Carrasco (2-3) will take the mound for the Mets, his 12th start of the season.

Pete Alonso paces the Mets in home runs (25) and runs batted in (58).

Francisco Lindor is batting .221 with 20 doubles, 17 home runs and 35 walks.

Brandon Nimmo leads the Mets with a .276 batting average.

Jeff McNeil is hitting .256 with 11 doubles, a triple, three home runs and 25 walks.

Diamondbacks and Mets Injuries

Diamondbacks: Merrill Kelly: 15 Day IL (Calf), Cole Sulser: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Mark Melancon: 60 Day IL (Shoulder), Corbin Martin: 60 Day IL (Lat)

Mets: Tim Locastro: 60 Day IL (Back), Edwin Uceta: 60 Day IL (Ankle), Sam Coonrod: 60 Day IL (Lat), Bryce Montes de Oca: 60 Day IL (Elbow), Edwin Díaz: 60 Day IL (Knee), José Quintana: 60 Day IL (Rib)