Diamondbacks vs. Mets odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

06 July 2023

Diamondbacks vs. Mets odds, tips and betting trends

At Chase Field on Thursday, the New York Mets play the Arizona Diamondbacks (three consecutive defeats) at 9:40 PM ET.

The Mets are road underdogs (+119) against the Diamondbacks (-140). The Diamondbacks will start Ryne Nelson (5-4) versus the Mets and Carlos Carrasco (2-3).

Yesterday, the Mets picked up a 2-1 victory over the Diamondbacks, with Kodai Senga (8.0 IP, 1 R, 4 H, 12 K) registering the win for the Mets. Francisco Alvarez finished 2-for-4 with a home run and an RBI to lead the offensive showing. Andrew Chafin (0.2 IP, 2 R, 3 H, 0 K) was handed the loss for the Diamondbacks.

Before watching this Diamondbacks vs. Mets matchup, here is what you need to know about Thursday’s action on the diamond, including viewing options.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets Odds and Betting Lines

Tipico Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 3:19 PM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Favorite: Diamondbacks (-140, bet $140 to win $100)
Underdog: Mets (+119, bet $100 to win $119)
Over/under: 10

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Diamondbacks Stats and Trends

Diamondbacks Betting Records

This season, the Diamondbacks have won 26 out of the 39 games, or 66.7%, in which they’ve been favored.
Arizona has a record of 16-6 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -140 on the moneyline.
The oddsmakers’ moneyline implies a 58.3% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 40 of its 87 games with a total this season.
The Diamondbacks are 53-34-0 ATS in their 87 games with a spread this season.

Ryne Nelson (Diamondbacks Probable Starter)

Nelson (5-4) takes the mound for the Diamondbacks in his 18th start of the season. He’s put together a 4.67 ERA in 90 2/3 innings pitched, with 64 strikeouts.
The right-hander last appeared on Sunday against the Los Angeles Angels, when he tossed 7 1/3 innings, allowing one earned run while giving up three hits.
The 25-year-old has amassed an ERA of 4.67, with 6.4 strikeouts per nine innings, in 17 games this season. Opposing hitters have a .274 batting average against him.
Nelson is aiming to claim his third quality start in a row in this game.
Nelson will try to build upon a four-game streak of lasting five or more innings (he’s averaging 5.3 frames per appearance).
In two of his appearances this season he did not surrender an earned run.
He meets a Mets offense that ranks 17th in the league with 386 runs while batting .239 as a squad. It has a collective .402 slugging percentage (16th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 109 home runs (ninth in MLB).
This season, the 25-year-old ranks 52nd in ERA (4.67), 50th in WHIP (1.379), and 56th in K/9 (6.4) among qualifying pitchers.

Diamondbacks Batting Stats

The Diamondbacks rank 12th in Major League Baseball with 102 home runs.
Fueled by 286 extra-base hits, Arizona ranks sixth in MLB with a .432 slugging percentage this season.
The Diamondbacks rank seventh in MLB with a .260 team batting average.
Arizona has scored the sixth-most runs in the majors this season with 437.
The Diamondbacks have an on-base percentage of .327 this season, which ranks ninth in the league.
Arizona is one of the most-disciplined teams at the plate this season, ranking fourth with an average of 7.8 strikeouts per game.

Mets Stats and Trends

Mets Betting Records

The Mets have been chosen as underdogs in 27 games this year and have walked away with the win eight times (29.6%) in those games.
This season, New York has been a moneyline underdog of -140 or longer six times, losing every contest.
The Mets have an implied victory probability of 45.7% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
New York’s games have gone over the total in 37 of its 85 opportunities.
The Mets have posted a record of 35-50-0 against the spread this season.

Carlos Carrasco (Mets Probable Starter)

Carrasco makes the start for the Mets, his 12th of the season. He is 2-3 with a 5.94 ERA and 39 strikeouts through 53 2/3 innings pitched.
In his most recent appearance on Friday against the San Francisco Giants, the right-hander went five innings, allowing two earned runs while surrendering five hits.
In 11 games this season, the 36-year-old has put up an ERA of 5.94, with 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings. Opponents are hitting .271 against him.
Carrasco has two quality starts under his belt this year.
Carrasco will look to collect his seventh game of five or more innings pitched this season. He’s averaging 4.8 innings per appearance.
He surrendered one or more earned runs in all of his outings in 2023.
He will match up with a Diamondbacks squad that is batting .260 as a unit (seventh in the MLB). They are also slugging a collective .432 (sixth in the league) with 102 total home runs (12th in MLB play).

Mets Batting Stats

The Mets average 1.3 home runs per game to rank ninth in MLB play with 109 total home runs .
So far this year, New York’s .402 slugging percentage is 16th in the majors.
The Mets have the 21st-ranked batting average in the league (.239).
The offense for New York is the No. 17 offense in the majors, scoring 4.5 runs per game (386 total runs).
The Mets’ .317 on-base percentage is 19th in baseball.

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