Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Detroit Tigers (26-36) hope to break their eight-game losing run against the Arizona Diamondbacks (39-25), at 11:35 AM ET on Sunday.

The Diamondbacks are heavily favored (-224 on the moneyline to win) when they square off against the Tigers (+184). The game’s over/under is set at 8.5.

The betting trends in what follows reference odds valid as of June 11, 2023 at 7:12 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Diamondbacks vs Tigers Betting Lines

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• This season, the Diamondbacks have been favored 30 times and won 21, or 70%, of those games.
• Arizona has played as favorites of -224 or more twice this season and won both games.
• The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 69.1% chance of a victory for the Diamondbacks.
• So far this season, Arizona and its opponents have hit the over in 30 of 64 games with a total.
• In 64 games with a spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 39-25-0 ATS.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Tigers Betting Insights

• The Tigers have been chosen as underdogs in 57 games this year and have walked away with the win 23 times (40.4%) in those games.
• Detroit has a win-loss record of 5-7 when favored by +184 or worse by sportsbooks this year.
• The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 35.2% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Detroit’s games have gone over the total in 32 of its 63 opportunities.
• The Tigers are 34-29-0 against the spread in their 63 games that had a posted line this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zac Gallen

• Gallen and his team have a record of 8-5-0 against the spread when he starts.
• The right-hander gave up two earned runs in six innings pitched on Sunday in his last outing, a matchup with the Atlanta Braves.
• Gallen will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
• He has made 13 appearances and finished five of them without allowing an earned run.
• Gallen’s team has won 62.5% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-3).
• In games Gallen has started, his team is 8-5.
• In Gallen’s 13 starts with a total, the teams have hit the over seven times.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Joey Wentz

• Wentz (1-6) takes the mound first for the Tigers in his 13th start of the season. He has a 7.49 ERA in 51 2/3 innings pitched, with 44 strikeouts.
• The lefty’s last appearance was on Monday against the Philadelphia Phillies, when he threw 4 2/3 innings, surrendering five earned runs while giving up seven hits.
• Wentz has put up five starts this season that he pitched five or more innings.
• So far during the 2023 campaign he has given up one or more earned runs in all of his appearances.
• The Tigers have been the underdog on the moneyline in 13 of Wentz’s starts this season, and they went 6-7 in those matchups.
• Wentz’s team has a 5-7 record in his starts this season.
• Wentz’s starts went over the run total nine times in 13 games with a set total this season.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

• The Diamondbacks have racked up two or more dingers in 28 games this season, and are 21-7 in those outings.
• Arizona has racked up five or more extra-base hits in 20 games this season, and has gone 16-4 in those contests.
• The team is 38-11 in the games this season it has put up eight or more hits.
• Arizona is 38-7 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
• The Diamondbacks are 12-13 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Tigers Hitting Trends

• They have won seven of the 12 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
• Detroit has won six of its eight games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
• In 33 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 25-8.
• Detroit has a 22-4 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• In 21 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 14-7

Diamondbacks vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-224)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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