Diamondbacks Vs Marlins Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Arizona Diamondbacks (19-15) will look to Corbin Carroll, currently on a 12-game hitting streak, versus the Miami Marlins (17-18) at 9:40 PM ET on Monday, at Chase Field.

The favored Diamondbacks (-195 on the moneyline to win) play at home against the Marlins (+164). The total for the game is set at 8.5 total runs.

The betting trends in this article use the latest odds as of May 8, 2023 at 9:13 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Diamondbacks vs Marlins Betting Lines

Diamondbacks Betting Insights

• This season, the Diamondbacks have been favored 11 times and won seven, or 63.6%, of those games.
• Arizona has played as favorites of -195 or more once this season and won that game.
• The implied probability of a win from the Diamondbacks, based on the moneyline, is 66.1%.
• Arizona and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 18 of 34 opportunities.
• The Diamondbacks are 19-15-0 against the spread this season.

Diamondbacks Last 10 Games Trend

Marlins Betting Insights

• The Marlins have come away with 10 wins in the 22 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
• Miami has a mark of 2-2 in contests where bookmakers favor it by +164 or worse on the moneyline.
• The Marlins have an implied victory probability of 37.9% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
• Contests with Miami has gone over the total set by sportsbooks in 15 of 35 chances this season.
• In 35 games with a line this season, the Marlins have a mark of 13-22-0 against the spread.

Marlins Last 10 Games Trend

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Diamondbacks Probable Pitcher – Zac Gallen

• When Gallen starts, his team is 5-2-0 against the spread this season.
• The right-hander last pitched on Wednesday, when he gave up three earned runs and allowed seven hits in five innings against the Texas Rangers.
• Gallen has pitched five or more innings in six straight games and will look to extend that streak.
• Gallen’s team is 2-1 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
• Gallen’s team has won five of his seven starts this season.
• Out of Gallen’s seven starts with a total this season, three have hit the over.

Diamondbacks Relief Pitchers

Marlins Probable Pitcher – Braxton Garrett

• Garrett gets the start for the Marlins, his fifth of the season. He is 1-1 with a 5.81 ERA and 22 strikeouts in 26 1/3 innings pitched.
• The lefty’s last time out came on Wednesday against the Atlanta Braves, when he went 4 1/3 innings, surrendering 11 earned runs while giving up 14 hits.
• Garrett has two starts this campaign where he pitched five or more innings.
• The Marlins have a 2-1 record in Garrett’s three starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
• Garrett’s team has a 3-1 record over his four starts.
• Garrett has had four starts that bookmakers set a total for this season, and two of those games finished over the total.

Marlins Relief Pitchers

Diamondbacks Hitting Trends

• The Diamondbacks have put up two or more home runs in 12 games this season, and are 7-5 in those outings.
• Arizona has gone 6-3 in its nine games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
• The club has strung together at least eight hits 21 times this season, and has a 14-7 record in those games.
• Arizona has a 14-4 record in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
• The Diamondbacks are 3-2 in the five games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Marlins Hitting Trends

• They are 4-3 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
• Miami’s .371 slugging percentage is 25th in MLB.
• In 25 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 14-11.
• In nine games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 8-1.
• They have won two of their four games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Diamondbacks (-195)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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