Twins vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

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Twins vs. Tigers Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Minnesota Twins (59-54) will look to Max Kepler, on a three-game homer streak, versus the Detroit Tigers (49-62) at 6:40 PM ET on Monday, at Comerica Park.

The Twins are favored away from home (-164) versus the Tigers (+138). The contest has a set total of 8.5.

The insights in this article are based off odds valid as of August 7, 2023 at 1:12 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Twins vs Tigers Betting Lines

Twins Betting Insights

  • The Twins have entered the game as favorites 74 times this season and won 45, or 60.8%, of those games.
  • Minnesota has a record of 14-13, a 51.9% win rate, when favored by -164 or more by sportsbooks this season.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Twins have a 62.1% chance to win.
  • Minnesota and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 52 of 113 opportunities.
  • In 113 games with a spread this season, the Twins are 52-61-0 ATS.

Twins Last 10 Games Trend

Tigers Betting Insights

  • The Tigers have come away with 38 wins in the 92 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Detroit has been victorious 22 times in 47 chances when named as an underdog of at least +138 or longer on the moneyline.
  • The Tigers have an implied victory probability of 42% according to the moneyline set for this matchup.
  • Detroit and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 58 of its 112 opportunities.
  • The Tigers are 59-53-0 against the spread in their 112 games that had a posted line this season.

Tigers Last 10 Games Trend

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Twins Probable Pitcher – Pablo Lopez

  • Lopez and his team have a record of 8-14-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The right-hander gave up one earned run and allowed four hits in six innings pitched against the St. Louis Cardinals on Tuesday.
  • Lopez has pitched five or more innings in 13 straight games and will look to extend that streak.
  • In 22 appearances this season, he has finished two without allowing an earned run.
  • Lopez’s team has a record of 11-5 this season when he starts and they are the favorite on the moneyline.
  • Lopez’s team has won 12 of his 22 starts.
  • In games Lopez has started this season, the teams are 11-10-1 at hitting the over.

Twins Relief Pitchers

Tigers Probable Pitcher – Joey Wentz

  • Wentz (2-9 with a 6.37 ERA and 72 strikeouts in 76 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Tigers, his 16th of the season.
  • The left-hander last appeared in relief on Saturday, July 29, when he threw 4 2/3 scoreless innings against the Miami Marlins while giving up four hits.
  • Wentz has put together seven starts this season that he pitched five or more innings.
  • He has had one appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
  • The Tigers have a 6-10 record in Wentz’s 16 starts this season when they were the moneyline underdog.
  • Wentz’s team has a 5-10 record in his starts this season.
  • Wentz has started 16 contests with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to hit the over in 10 of them.

Tigers Relief Pitchers

Twins Hitting Trends

  • The Twins have hit two or more home runs in 56 games this season, and are 45-11 in those outings.
  • Minnesota has gone 31-6 in its 37 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
  • The team is 50-17 in the games this season it has racked up eight or more hits.
  • Minnesota is 54-9 in games this season when it scored at least five runs.
  • The Twins are 23-12 in games this season when they have drawn five or more walks.

Tigers Hitting Trends

  • They’ve hit two or more homers in 27 games this season and are 18-9 in those matchups.
  • In 19 games with five or more extra-base hits this season, it has a record of 15-4.
  • In 66 games this season with eight or more hits, they have a record of 46-20.
  • Detroit has won 38 of its 51 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won 17 of their 28 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Twins vs. Tigers Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Twins (-164)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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