Dolphins vs. Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds Week 9: Hill's Revenge Game in Germany

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02 November 2023

Dolphins vs. Chiefs Prediction, Picks & Odds Week 9: Hill's Revenge Game in Germany

Tyreek Hill faces the Kansas City Chiefs for the first time since they traded him to the Miami Dolphins in March 2022, and our Dolphins vs. Chiefs prediction looks at whether he will punish them in Frankfurt, Germany as we break down the best NFL odds.

The Miami Dolphins have been in Frankfurt since Tuesday and admitted that they were recovering from their jet lag as late as Thursday. Meanwhile, the Chiefs chose to leave their travel until Thursday. Will sleep be a factor in this mouthwatering contest between two AFC superpowers early Sunday morning?

As part of our NFL Week 9 predictions, here is our best Dolphins vs. Chiefs prediction and our NFL picks (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Dolphins vs. Chiefs prediction

Dolphins +2 (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

I’ve been with the Dolphins in Germany since their first practice session on Wednesday. They were a lot livelier on Thursday, with some of them admitting that they were still not over their jet lag after two days in the city.

Sleep is an important factor in these NFL international games. The winning teams at the two Tottenham Hotspur Stadium games in London last month had spent the week in the UK prior to their respective matchups. The Buffalo Bills struggled to get anything going on offense until the fourth quarter in London, they flew over on the Thursday before their game against the Jacksonville Jaguars.

Both the Dolphins and Chiefs are 6-2, so it is not as though Kansas City is facing an inferior team in this contest. The result on Sunday could have huge implications for playoff seeding in January.

The Dolphins have the No. 1 offense, leading the NFL in both rushing yards (1,214) and net passing yards (2,412). Running back Raheem Mostert and wide receiver Tyreek Hill have scored in the same game in six of Miami's eight outings this season. Their speed will pose an incredible threat to the Chiefs’ defense, especially if they’re sleep-deprived.

The AFC Offensive Player of the Month, Hill, who already has over 1,000 receiving yards this season, said he’s treating this game like any other. He did admit that it took some time to get over being traded from the Chiefs last year. Regardless of what he says, Hill is going to be up for this one. Head coach Mike McDaniel will have a few things schemed up to get his star receiver the headlines.

Two points for a team boasting the best offensive unit in the NFL is too good to turn down.

Still, our Neil Parker is eyeing one current Chiefs wideout with his NFL player props for Week 9.

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Dolphins vs. Chiefs best odds

We have to take the points in this matchup. There is no home-field advantage for the Chiefs. The advantage in this game is with the Dolphins because they have had longer to adjust to the time zone. Whereas Miami’s time difference is five hours this week, Kansas City’s is six.

Dolphins vs. Chiefs odds

Miami is +110 at DraftKings and bet365 for the moneyline upset, as of Thursday. The Dolphins are 1-2 as underdogs this season. The best price you can get for the Chiefs straight up is -120 via FanDuel. Kansas City is 6-2 SU as the favorite this season.

International games are traditionally low-scoring affairs due to the huge amount of travel involved, however, Miami’s offense has adjusted to the time zone and is capable of lighting up. The total is set at 51 points via DraftKings and Caesars, our other best sports betting apps have it at 50.5 points. The Over is 5-3 in Dolphins games this season, but 2-6 in Chiefs games.