Expect Mariners to be in the playoff race come September

One month into the MLB season, the data needed to generate support for a team to win the World Series is available. The best indicator of a winning team is run differential. Three teams have losing records but a positive run difference. Two of them are priced properly in the futures market. One of the teams is a division contender. The third team has value that may evaporate between now and the All-Star break. It is the Cleveland Guardians. They have scored more runs than they’ve allowed. Their record is losing. However, they are a contender in their division. In the case of Philadelphia, their record and their price justify a price of +700 for the NL East.