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The Rams are set to play this game without Kyren Williams, yet it’s important to note that the running back position is often one of the most easily interchangeable roles in football. While Williams has indeed delivered notable fantasy performances, the underlying efficiency hasn’t been as impressive.
The expectation here is that there won’t be an excessive drop in performance when transitioning from Williams to alternatives such as Zach Evans and Royce Freeman. The Rams’ offensive engine has been performing at its best with Cooper Kupp’s return, securing a place within the top 10 in both pass DVOA and rush DVOA.
The Steelers, on the other hand, can’t continue to rely on winning games solely through defensive scores and sporadic impactful plays on offense. Eventually, this reliance on luck is bound to wear thin.
In their initial five games, the Steelers’ offense has landed in the bottom eight for both pass DVOA, dropback EPA, rush DVOA, and rush EPA. In contrast, the Rams haven’t boasted an elite defense, but their unit has hovered close to league-average performance against both the run and the pass.
The Rams appear to be hitting their stride, while the Steelers are facing the need for significant adjustments if they aim to maintain their winning streak. Consequently, I’m inclined to favor the home team to secure a victory by a margin of a field goal.
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