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As game time nears, the Chiefs are drawing attention from the betting public, but my focus remains on the impressive performance of the 49ers throughout the season, especially in their running game. They boast a 7-2 record against playoff teams, discounting a final-week matchup against the Rams. McCaffrey’s remarkable 21 total touchdowns in the regular season, coupled with five more in the playoffs, highlight their offensive prowess.
However, the Chiefs’ vulnerability lies in their run defense, ranking 25th in the league and allowing an average of 4.5 yards per carry. In the playoffs, only the Bills truly tested their run defense, nearly forcing overtime with 182 rushing yards.
Coach Kyle Shanahan’s commitment to the run, even when trailing, as seen in the NFC Championship game, indicates the Niners’ strategy. Defensively, the Niners must contain Mahomes, utilizing their agile linebackers like Fred Warner and Dre Greenlaw to keep him in check. Limiting yards after catch, particularly from Kelce, is crucial. Mahomes, known for his adaptability in playoff seasons, must be contained to field goals rather than touchdowns.
The game is likely to showcase the Niners’ offensive line dominance, setting up the run game to control the pace and ease the pressure on quarterback Purdy. While Purdy doesn’t need to outshine Mahomes, minimizing errors will be key. With a healthy offensive line and skilled players, the Niners are poised for success on Sunday.
Pick: 49ers ML(-124)
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