Formula 1 picks, odds, race time: Surprising 2023 Azerbaijan Grand Prix predictions, F1 bets by proven model

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The 2023 Formula 1 season will continue on Sunday with the 2023 Azerbaijan Grand Prix at the Baku City Circuit in Baku, the nation's capital and also the largest city in the world below sea level. The race will begin at 7 a.m. ET and Red Bull Racing will be hoping to continue a dream start to the season after winning each of the first three races of the season. Max Verstappen has won twice and sits atop the 2023 F1 standings while Carlos Perez won in Saudi Arabia and is second. 

Verstappen is the -275 favorite (risk $275 to win $100) in the 2023 Azerbaijan Grand Prix odds from Caesars Sportsbook while Perez is priced at 9-2. Aston Martin's Fernando Alonso is next on the Azerbaijan GP odds board at 12-1 while Mercedes' Lewis Hamilton is just behind him at 14-1. Before analyzing the 2023 Azerbaijan Grand Prix starting grid and making any Formula 1 picks, be sure to check out the latest 2023 Azerbaijan GP predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proven projection model.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary Formula 1 prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results. It's had a strong history of success in motorsports, correctly predicting nine NASCAR winners since the 2021 season and its projected leaderboards have forecasted winners across multiple racing formats.

The model has been scorching hot when it comes to picking Formula 1 race events dating back to 2021. It nailed both of Leclerc's wins in 2022, and at the 2021 Mexican Grand Prix, the model was strongly backing Verstappen as its top pick. The result: Verstappen dominated the field and ran away with a surprise victory. 

The model followed that up by calling Verstappen's win at the Rolex Emilia Romagna GP in April and then nailed his wins again in Belgium, the Netherlands, Japan, the United States, Mexico and Abu Dhabi. It's also nailed Verstappen's wins in Bahrain and Australia this season. Anyone who followed the model's lead on those plays has seen huge returns

Now, the model has dialed in on the 2023 Formula 1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix and just released its coveted picks and leaderboard projections. You can head to SportsLine now to see the complete 2023 Azerbaijan GP leaderboard projection.

Top 2023 Formula 1 Azerbaijan GP predictions

One massive shocker: The model is fading Hamilton even though he won the 2018 Azerbaijan Grand Prix and is coming off his best finish of the year. Hamilton finished less than two-tenths of a second behind Verstappen in Australia but that was his only podium of the year so far and he's currently fourth in the 2023 F1 standings. 

He's failed to hit the podium in his last two starts in Baku, finishing fourth last season and finishing 15th in 2021. So he's a driver to fade as fourth favorite in the 2023 Azerbaijan GP odds and there are far better values in the 2023 Azerbaijan Grand Prix field on Sunday. See who the model is backing right here.

How to make 2023 Azerbaijan Grand Prix picks

The model is also targeting one longshot getting over 25-1 Azerbaijan GP odds to make a surprising surge up the leaderboard. Anyone who backs him could hit it big. You can find out who he is, and see all of the model's F1 picks and predictions at SportsLine.

So who wins the Azerbaijan Grand Prix 2023? And which under-the-radar drivers makes a stunning charge towards the front? Check out the latest 2023 F1 odds below, then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2023 Azerbaijan Grand Prix leaderboard, all from the model with a proven history of auto racing success, and find out.

2023 Formula 1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix odds, field, top contenders

See Azerbaijan Grand Prix picks at SportsLineMax Verstappen -275Sergio Perez +450Fernando Alonso +1200Lewis Hamilton +1400George Russell +2500Charles Leclerc +2800Carlos Sainz +4000Lance Stroll +10000Esteban Ocon +30000Pierre Gasly +30000Lando Norris +40000Oscar Piastri +50000Alexander Albon +50000Nico Hulkenberg +75000Kevin Magnussen +75000Yuki Tsunoda +100000Valtteri Bottas +100000Logan Sargeant +150000Guanyu Zhou +150000