Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

22 March 2023

Golden State Warriors vs. Dallas Mavericks odds, tips and betting trends

The Golden State Warriors (37-36) face the Dallas Mavericks (36-36) at 7:30 PM ET on Wednesday, March 22, 2023. The matchup airs on ESPN, BSSW, and NBCS-BA.

The Warriors are only a 2-point favorite against the Mavericks when the Warriors and Mavericks hit the court in a game oddsmakers expect to be a tight matchup. The over/under for the game is 233.5.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Betting Odds

Spread: Golden State -2
Total: 233.5
Moneyline: Golden State -125, Dallas +105

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Warriors at Mavericks odds, spread, & more

Prediction

Pick ATS: Mavericks (+ 2)
Pick OU:
Under (233.5)
Prediction:
Mavericks 117 – Warriors 114

Golden State has come away with 30 wins in the 49 contests it has been listed as the favorite in this season.
This season, Golden State has come away with a win 30 times in 47 chances when named as a favorite of at least -125 or shorter on the moneyline.
Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that Golden State has a 55.6% chance of pulling out a win.

Dallas has put together a 7-18 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 28% of those games).
In games it has played as a moneyline underdog with odds of +105 or longer, Dallas has gone 6-15 (28.6%).
Based on this contest’s moneyline, Dallas’ implied win probability is 48.8%.

The 118.3 points per game the Warriors record are 5.1 more points than the Mavericks allow (113.2).
Golden State is 28-22 against the spread and 31-19 overall when scoring more than 113.2 points.
When Dallas allows fewer than 118.3 points, it is 22-26-4 against the spread and 31-21 overall.
The Mavericks score just 4.2 fewer points per game (113.7) than the Warriors allow (117.9).
Dallas is 15-13 against the spread and 19-9 overall when it scores more than 117.9 points.
Golden State has an ATS record of 21-5-1 and a 24-3 record overall when its opponents score fewer than 113.7 points.
The Warriors are the NBA’s second-ranked scoring team (118.3 PPG), while the Mavericks rank 15th in points per game allowed (113.2) in the league.
Dallas is the NBA’s 17th-ranked offense (113.7 PPG), while Golden State is the 25th-ranked defense (117.9).
The Warriors have totaled a total of 28 more points than their opponents this year (an average of 0.4 per game), and the Mavericks have out-scored opponents by 36 points on the season (0.5 more per game).

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Golden State’s average implied point total this year is 1.7 more points than its implied total in Wednesday’s game (119.7 implied points on average compared to 118 implied points in this game).
This season, Golden State has scored more than 118 points in 42 games.
The average implied point total on the season for Dallas (115.0) is 1.0 fewer point than the team’s implied total in this matchup (116).

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