Warriors vs. Mavericks Prediction: Expert Picks, Odds, Stats & Best Bets

Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks (36-36) have an opportunity to grab an upset win when they hit the court as just 1.5-point underdogs against Jordan Poole and the Golden State Warriors (37-36) on Wednesday.

Warriors vs. Mavericks Odds

• Warriors odds to win: -123
• Mavericks odds to win: +103
• Spread: Warriors (-1.5)

Warriors vs. Mavericks Promo Codes

Game Time and Information

• When: Wednesday, March 22, 2023 at 7:30 PM ET
• Where: American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas
• TV: ESPN, BSSW, and NBCS-BA

Who Will Win Warriors vs. Mavericks?

Warriors and Mavericks Betting Trends, Records Against the Spread

The Warriors have a 24-23-1 record against the spread in games they were favored by 1.5 points or more this season.

The Mavericks have an 11-12-1 record against the spread this year when an underdog by 1.5 points or more.

Golden State’s ATS record is 34-38-1 this season.

The Mavericks have a 26-42-4 record against the spread this season.

Warriors Stats & Insights

The Warriors have a +28 scoring differential, putting up 118.3 points per game (second in the league) and allowing 117.9 (25th in the NBA).

The 44.2 rebounds per game the Warriors average rank ninth in the NBA. Their opponents pull down 43.7 per outing.

Golden State hits 16.5 three-pointers per game (first in the league), 3.5 more than its opponents (13). It is shooting 38.3% from beyond the arc (third-best in the NBA) while allowing opponents to shoot 36.6%.

The Warriors average 112.6 points per 100 possessions on offense (13th in the league), and allow 111.9 points per 100 possessions (15th in the NBA).

In the 2022-23 season, the Warriors are scoring 2.5 more points per home game on average than on the road (119.6 at home, 117.1 on the road), but are allowing 12.3 fewer points per home game compared to road games (111.7 at home, 124 on the road).

Mavericks Stats & Insights

The Mavericks score 113.7 points per game (17th in NBA) and concede 113.2 (15th in league) for a +36 scoring differential overall.

Dallas ranks 30th in the NBA at 38.7 rebounds per game. That’s 5.4 fewer than the 44.1 its opponents average.

The Mavericks knock down 4.1 more threes per game than the opposition, 15.1 (third-most in the league) compared to their opponents’ 11.

The Mavericks average 114.2 points per 100 possessions on offense (eighth in league), and concede 113.5 points per 100 possessions (20th in NBA).

At home Dallas is scoring 115.1 points per game, 2.7 more than it is averaging away (112.4).

Warriors Key Players to Watch

The Warriors active scoring leader is Poole, who averages 20.2 per contest to go with 2.7 rebounds and 4.6 assists.

Kevon Looney adds 7.2 points, 2.4 assists and 9.1 rebounds per matchup. Draymond Green puts up 8.4 points, 6.8 assists and 7.3 rebounds per game.

Klay Thompson leads active Warriors in three-point shooting, making an average of 4.3 shots per game from beyond the arc.

Donte DiVincenzo averages 1.3 steals per game, while Green swats 0.8 shots per contest.

Mavericks Key Players to Watch

Doncic has put up 33 points, grabbed 8.6 rebounds and handed out eight assists per game so far in 2022-23.

Tim Hardaway Jr. knocks down 2.9 threes per game.

Doncic’s 1.5 steals and Christian Wood’s 1.1 blocks per game are vital to the Mavericks’ defensive performance.

• Pick ATS: Mavericks (+ 1.5)
• Prediction:
  Mavericks 117 – Warriors 114