Grand National Tips: 6 stats in picking 2022 Aintree Grand National winner

The Grand National declarations are made on Thursday, April 7. The market will be ‘non runner money back’ on all selections. If your selection does not run in the race for whatever reason, you will lose your stake.

There is a 40-runner field for the Aintree Grand National. There are six things to consider when picking the winner.

Only nine of the last 30 Grand National winners came from outside the top eight in the betting. Over half of last thirty favourites have finished in top four. The odds on the Grand Nats are 50/1.

The last seven-year-old to win the Grand National was Bogskar in 1940. Coko Beach is not likely to be the winner this year. Three of the last four winners have been eight-years-olds. 80 per cent of Grand Nats winners over the past 30 years were nine years of age or older.

Only two Grand National winners have carried 11st 6lbs or more in the last 45 years. Chris’s Dream, Minella Times, Delta Work, Any Second Now and Easysland would not be considered Grand Nats winners based on these stats.

Delta Work is the favourite for the Grand National on Saturday. He won the Cross Country Chase at Cheltenham 20 days ago. The winner of that race was booed the whole way back to the parade ring. Mount Ida, Death Duty, Noble Yeats and Santini are not recommended.

The last 30 winners of the Aintree Grand National have had a run around in the last 56 days. Battleoverdoyen hasn't been seen since January 23rd, Chatham Street Lad will be off-course over 140 days by the time the flag goes up for the start. Freewheelin’ Dylan was last seen in early January. Commodore hasn”t been running for 120 days, while Highland Hunter and Enjoy D“allen are slightly outside the two-month threshold.

Grand National Tips: 6 stats in picking 2022 Aintree Grand National winner.

The last 10 winners chased the leaders and followed the main leaders. One For Arthur and Neptune Collognes came from far back to win the Aintree Grand National in the last decade. Fiddlerontheroof, De Rasher Counter, Discorama or Kildisart are not a good bet.

Snow Leopardess, Escaria Ten, Longhouse Poet, Burrows Saint, Cloth Cap and Éclair Surf are the horses to pick for the Grand National at 5.15 pm on Saturday. If they don't run in the race, they will lose their stake.

Tiger Roll has won a lot of prize money in his career. Tony Mullins thinks Tiger Roll not running in the Grand National is the craziest move of all-time. Grand Nats weights announced for Aintree 2022. Conflated and Galvin top the list.