Grizzlies vs. Nuggets prediction and odds for Friday, March 3 (Trust Denver at home)

The Denver Nuggets are looking for some revenge on the Memphis Grizzlies, who beat them by 18 in Memphis the last time they played.

Denver still has a five-game lead in the Western Conference, and now the team is back in a place it loves to play, at Ball Arena in the altitude in Colorado. The Nuggets are a league best 28-4 at home in the 2022-23 season.

One key in this game for the Nuggets will be the status of Aaron Gordon and Michael Porter Jr., who are both listed as probable for this game.

With Denver playing elite basketball at home, is Memphis in trouble as a road underdog?

Here’s a look at the latest odds:

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets odds, spread and total

Grizzlies vs. Nuggets prediction and pick

There isn’t a team in the NBA worse as a road underdog than the Memphis Grizzlies, who are just 1-8 ATS in nine games.

That coupled with Denver’s elite record as a home favorite (19-10-1) leads me to betting on Denver to cover the spread in this game.

Memphis’ win over the Nuggets came without Gordon, so adding him back should give Denver a boost in this game.

The Grizzlies, even though they’re second in the West, have been pretty average over its last 15 games, ranking 12th in net rating and 24th in offensive rating.

Denver is No. 2 in the league in offense and even better when it’s at Ball Arena. Lay the points with the Nuggets tonight.

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.