Guardians at Pirates Picks, Odds, & Betting Lines

Picks

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

CLE @ PIT

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

CLE @ PIT

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

70%

PUBLIC

30%

70%

PUBLIC

30%

Expert Picks

35-19 IN LAST 54 MLB ML PICKS

Mike's Analysis: The wheels have come off for the Pirates, who have lost nine of their last 10 games. In the first two games of this series with the Guardians, they have been outscored 21-1. In total, they have scored four or fewer runs in each of their last 10 games. The Guardians have the edge again Wednesday with Aaron Civale starting against Rich Hill. Civale has given up two or fewer runs in eight of his 10 starts, while Hill has a 4.76 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP for the season. Look for the Guardians to complete the sweep.

Pick Made:Wed 1:51 PM UTC

50-31 IN LAST 81 MLB ML PICKS

42-24 IN LAST 66 CLE ML PICKS

Larry's Analysis: The Pirates have called up seven prospects in the past month as they look to the future. They've been outscored 21-1 in this series, while the Guardians chase the AL Central crown. Pittsburgh is 2-12 this month and has scored an MLB-low 235 runs since April 30, per the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette. While Rich Hill is 2-0 with a 2.39 ERA in his last four starts versus Cleveland, none of those came this season. The 43-year-old lefty owns a 6.43 ERA over his last four starts, with 26 hits and 10 walks yielded in 21 innings. Cleveland counters with Aaron Civale; he's been brilliant in three July starts with a 1.50 ERA and two walks and 10 hits allowed over 18 innings.

Pick Made:Wed 4:14 AM UTC

As Favorite

STATUS

As Underdog or Even

When Line was -157 to -127

MONEY LINE

When Line was +106 to +136

As Road Favorite

LOCATION & STATUS

As Home Underdog

vs Teams That Win <46% of Games

OPP WIN%

vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games

vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs

OPP DEFENSE

vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs

3rd game without a day off

REST

3rd game without a day off

when Aaron Civale starts

PROJECTED STARTER

when Rich Hill starts

The Simulation uses parameters such as each team's statistics, expected lineups and defense-adjusted performance metrics to simulate every game 10,000 times and generate projections for the matchup. Those projections are then compared to the betting lines to create pick grades based on confidence, with "A" picks representing the biggest edge.

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