Diamondbacks at Braves Picks, Odds, & Betting Lines

Picks

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ARI @ ATL

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

ARI @ ATL

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

19%

PUBLIC

81%

24%

PUBLIC

76%

Expert Picks

68-54 IN LAST 122 MLB PICKS

8-2 IN LAST 10 ATL ATS PICKS

Larry's Analysis: Braves veteran starter Charlie Morton has allowed one run on 11 hits over his last 19 innings. He should hold the Diamondbacks reasonably in check after Tuesday's 16-run outburst. Look for the Braves to pound Ryne Nelson -- he allowed a 57.9 percent hard-hit rate with zero strikeouts in his last outing versus Atlanta -- and cover the run line.

Pick Made:Wed 10:12 PM UTC

Mike's Analysis: In the hot Atlanta weather Tuesday, these two teams combined to score 29 runs. We are looking at another warm night Wednesday that should be conducive to scoring. The Braves have the potential to tee off against Ryne Nelson, who has a 4.98 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP. The Diamondbacks don’t have as easy of a matchup against Charlie Morton, but he hasn’t exactly been lights out with his 1.36 WHIP for the season. The Diamondbacks have also scored the seventh-most runs in baseball, so they can beat up on good pitchers. I’ll take the over.

Pick Made:Wed 1:38 PM UTC

As Underdog or Even

STATUS

As Favorite

When Line was +175 to +205

MONEY LINE

When Line was -245 to -215

As Road Underdog

LOCATION & STATUS

As Home Favorite

vs Teams That Win >54% of Games

OPP WIN%

vs Teams That Win >54% of Games

vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs

OPP DEFENSE

vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs

2nd game without a day off

REST

2nd game without a day off

when Ryne Nelson starts

PROJECTED STARTER

when Charlie Morton starts

The Simulation uses parameters such as each team's statistics, expected lineups and defense-adjusted performance metrics to simulate every game 10,000 times and generate projections for the matchup. Those projections are then compared to the betting lines to create pick grades based on confidence, with "A" picks representing the biggest edge.

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