Guardians vs. Cardinals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

Nolan Gorman brings a 15-game hitting streak into the St. Louis Cardinals’ (23-29) game versus the Cleveland Guardians (21-28), at 7:10 PM ET on Friday, at Progressive Field.

Oddsmakers project the Guardians as a close favorite (-114 to win on the moneyline) against the Cardinals (-103). The game’s over/under is 8.

The betting facts in the following article use the latest odds as of May 26, 2023 at 3:15 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Guardians vs Cardinals Betting Lines

Guardians Betting Insights

• The Guardians have been favorites in 26 games this season and won 11 (42.3%) of those contests.
• This season Cleveland has won 10 of its 24 games, or 41.7%, when favored by at least -114 on the moneyline.
• The implied probability of a win from the Guardians, based on the moneyline, is 53.3%.
• So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 13 of 41 games with a total.
• In 41 games with a spread this season, the Guardians are 16-25-0 ATS.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

Cardinals Betting Insights

• The Cardinals have been victorious in eight, or 44.4%, of the 18 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
• St. Louis has a win-loss record of 8-8 when favored by -103 or worse by bookmakers this year.
• The Cardinals have an implied victory probability of 50.7% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
• St. Louis and its opponents have gone over in 26 of its 45 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
• The Cardinals have posted a record of 20-25-0 against the spread this season.

Cardinals Last 10 Games Trend

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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Shane Bieber

• Bieber’s team is 3-5-0 against the spread in his starts this season.
• The right-hander’s last start was on Sunday, when he tossed eight innings while giving up two earned runs on seven hits in a matchup with the New York Mets.
• Bieber has nine starts of five or more innings this season in 10 chances. He averages 6.4 innings per outing.
• Bieber’s team is 3-4 this season when he starts and they are the moneyline favorite.
• In games Bieber has started, his team is 3-7.
• In Bieber’s eight starts with a total, the teams have hit the over two times.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

Cardinals Probable Pitcher – Matthew Liberatore

• Liberatore (1-0) pitches first for the Cardinals to make his second start of the season.
• His last time out came in relief on Sunday when the lefty threw one inning against the Los Angeles Dodgers, surrendering two earned runs while allowing just one hit.
• The Cardinals have not been a moneyline underdog when Liberatore starts this season.
• His team has won the only game he’s appeared in this season.
• Liberatore’s only start with a total this season went under.

Cardinals Relief Pitchers

Guardians Hitting Trends

• The Guardians are 4-2 this season in games when they crush two or more homers.
• Cleveland has had at least five extra-base hits in seven games this season, and has gone 3-4 in those contests.
• The team has collected eight or more hits in 23 games this season, and is 11-12 in those contests.
• Cleveland has a 9-3 record in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
• The Guardians have drawn at least five walks in 16 games this season, and are 8-8 in those contests.

Cardinals Hitting Trends

• They have won 22 of the 28 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
• St. Louis has gone 20-2 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
• They have won 28 of the 41 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
• In 30 games this season with five or more runs scored, it has posted a record of 25-5.
• In 17 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 7-10

Guardians vs. Cardinals Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Cardinals (-103)
Over/Under Pick: Over (8)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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