Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

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Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The Cleveland Guardians (53-56) and Chicago White Sox (43-67) both enter Friday’s outing on losing streaks. The Guardians have dropped three in a row, the White Sox four in a row.

The White Sox are an away underdog (+138) against the Guardians (-163). The over/under for this game is set at 8.5.

The insights in what follows are based off odds valid as of August 4, 2023 at 7:21 AM ET. Ready to bet?

Guardians vs White Sox Betting Lines

Guardians Betting Insights

  • The Guardians have won 33, or 55.9%, of the 59 games they’ve played as favorites this season.
  • Cleveland has a record of 11-8 in games when sportsbooks favor them by at least -163 on the moneyline.
  • Bookmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Guardians have a 62% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Cleveland and its opponents have hit the over in 47 of 109 games with a total.
  • The Guardians have an ATS record of 55-54-0 in 109 games with a spread this season.

Guardians Last 10 Games Trend

White Sox Betting Insights

  • The White Sox have come away with 24 wins in the 74 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
  • This season, Chicago has come away with a win six times in 19 chances when named as an underdog of at least +138 or worse on the moneyline.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the White Sox have a 42% chance of pulling out a win.
  • Chicago’s games have gone over the total in 49 of its 110 opportunities.
  • The White Sox are 53-57-0 against the spread in their 110 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.

White Sox Last 10 Games Trend

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Guardians Probable Pitcher – Logan Allen

  • Allen and his team have a record of 10-5-0 against the spread when he starts.
  • The left-hander gave up five earned runs and allowed eight hits in six innings pitched against the Chicago White Sox on Saturday.
  • Allen will look to finish five or more innings for the fourth start in a row.
  • He has made 15 appearances and finished four of them without allowing an earned run.
  • When Allen starts a game and his team is the favorite on the moneyline, they have a record of 4-4.
  • In games Allen has started, his team is 10-5.
  • Games started by Allen have a 6-7-2 record at hitting the over this season.

Guardians Relief Pitchers

White Sox Probable Pitcher – Mike Clevinger

  • The White Sox will send Clevinger (4-4) to the mound for his 14th start of the season. He is 4-4 with a 3.59 ERA and 56 strikeouts through 67 2/3 innings pitched.
  • The righty last pitched on Saturday against the Cleveland Guardians, when he tossed five scoreless innings while giving up two hits.
  • Clevinger is looking to record his 12th start of five or more innings this year in this game.
  • He is trying to make his third straight appearance with no earned runs given up.
  • The White Sox have a 4-6 record in Clevinger’s 10 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
  • In Clevinger’s 13 starts, his team is 7-6.
  • Clevinger has had 13 starts that sportsbooks set a total for this season, and five of those matchups hit the over.

White Sox Relief Pitchers

Guardians Hitting Trends

  • The Guardians have a 16-5 record in games this season when they smash at least two homers.
  • Cleveland is 16-5 in games this season when it has had at least five extra-base hits.
  • The club has put up at least eight hits 68 times this season, and has a 37-31 record in those games.
  • Cleveland is 33-8 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
  • The Guardians have drawn five or more walks in 25 games this season, and are 15-10 in those contests.

White Sox Hitting Trends

  • They are 18-18 this season when they hit two or more home runs in a game.
  • Chicago has gone 13-7 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
  • They have won 34 of the 65 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
  • Chicago has won 28 of its 39 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
  • They have won seven of their 14 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.

Guardians vs. White Sox Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Guardians (-163)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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