Heat vs. Warriors odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, March 23 prediction from proven computer model

Miami Heat and Golden State Warriors are playing Wednesday at 7:30 p.m. ET at FTX Arena. Miami is 47-25 overall and 26-9 at home, while Golden state is 48-24 overall, 18-16 on the road. Golden States won the first game this year 115-108. SportsLine's advanced computer model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,00 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three-plus seasons.

SportsLine's computer model has picked Miami Heat vs. Golden State Warriors on March 23. The model is using a model that has a very high level of accuracy.

Miami Heat lost to Philadelphia on Monday night. Tyler Herro is having his best month of the season, averaging 24.3 points per game in March. Miami has covered the spread in five of its last six home games against Golden State.

Golden State is looking to snap a three-game losing streak on Wednesday night. Steph Curry is out again with a foot injury. Jordan Poole is averaging a career-high 17.3 points per game this season. The Warriors have won 10 of their last 15 games against the Heat.

The model simulates Heat vs. Warriors 10,000 times and it's picking the Heat to win. The model is also picking a side to cover the spread in almost 60 percent of simulations.