HighPoint.com 400 DFS Prop Picks
July 23, 2023, on a Sunday afternoon, features the HighPoint.com 400 from the Pocono Raceway in Long Pond, Pennsylvania. This is the 21st 2023 edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of. However, this time, these props will be available on a special Memorial Day weekend edition. Also, keep in mind that due to inclement weather, the race may take place on Monday.
PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, 5-player, or even 6-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win. As for the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
Our partners at PrizePicks offer some of the best, and easiest-to-win, NASCAR DFS games in the industry. There are no large-field tournaments filled with sharks where you have to get lucky just to place. At PrizePicks, you're not playing against other people, you're just playing against the projections.
PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score, which has a scoring system where the first nets 45 points, the second is worth 42, the third is worth 41, and so on. Every lap led NOW equals an extra 0.25 points. Every fastest clocked lap equals an extra 0.45 points. Laps led are 0.25 points per lap and place differential is plus or minus one point. Also, stage wins are worth one point apiece. For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Denny Hamlin MORE Than 50.5 Points
The numbers worry us considerably. However, Denny Hamlin is tentatively called "Mister Pocono" for his ability to lead laps and potentially win. Last year, he won the race but was disqualified for tape. Yes, a piece of tape was the reason.
Now, the sunny and warm conditions help the Toyota cars. Six of the top 11 cars qualified were from the Toyota stable. Hamlin possesses a driver rating of more than 100 in eight straight races at Pocono. He has won twice since 2019 and has several top-five results. With the laps led and fastest laps potential, Hamlin becomes a play on the MORE side.
Chase Elliott LESS Than 57.5 Points
The choice carries a metric ton of risk because people immediately see Chase Elliott won last year and assume. Remember, he finished third and became the winner after not one but two disqualifications. Elliott will start from the rear of the field this time around. Yes, the improved place differential is high. However, Elliott has 60 points to make up or find a way to win a race.
Again, these Hendrick cars have been a bit of a mixed bag. Elliott finished 13th and 12th in the past two races, respectively. That will not exactly help the No. 9 car much. Take the LESS here and be prepared to sweat a lot.
Kyle Larson MORE Than 48.5 Points
The goal is to take on more gambles and Kyle Larson is always a big one. Larson, for as good as he is, does have six DNFs in 19 races this season. Naturally, that is not all his fault. However, the concern is in spite of 598 laps led, the No. 5 car has not won a race since May's All-Star Race.
The Chevy looked great in testing at Pocono and Larson has shown the ability to lead laps and set fast laps before. Can he do it often enough Sunday in a 160-lap race? We go with the MORE here.
Ross Chastain LESS Than 43.5 Points
It is nice when the numbers keep rolling along. Ross Chastain has not won since Nashville and has some ugly results dating back to Darlington. Place differential has not been the greatest ally either.
Now, the only concern is whether may he avoid the big wrecks. However, Chastain has had some not-so-fortunate luck avoiding contact at Pocono. This is why taking LESS than 43.5 points may not be as risky as it appears.
Kyle Busch MORE Than 55.5 Points
Kyle Busch, we are giving this driver another shot. He delivered for us before so why not try one more time? The number lies high here but Busch did win the Xfinity race on Saturday and starts Sunday's NASCAR race from the 25th position. He has the ability to move up the field and lead a few laps, too.
Naturally, the idea is that Busch gets help from the rest of the field. All it takes is a few more cautions than usual and Busch is right near the front. It's not hard to see that Busch can manage MORE than 55.5 points on Sunday afternoon.
Other Recommendations:
- Ty Gibbs LESS Than 31.5 Points
- Bubba Wallace MORE Than 28.5 Points
- Kevin Harvick LESS Than 39.5 Points
