NASCAR DFS Prop Picks for Food City Dirt Race
We look to Sunday afternoon (April 16th, 2023) as the NOCO 400 comes to us from Martinsville Speedway in Martinsville, Virginia. This is the ninth 2023 edition of NASCAR DFS on PrizePicks. Our friends over at PrizePicks have a TON of great props we can look to take advantage of.
PrizePicks is a great DFS props site where you can choose to select plays in terms of fantasy points or single stats. The goal is to build a 2-player, 3-player, 4-player, or 5-player entry and then select whether or not you want to play for the power play or the flex play. On the power play, you will need to be correct on each of your selections to win. As for the flex play, you will have a little more wiggle room for a chance to win some money back.
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PrizePicks and NASCAR focus on Fantasy Score which has a scoring system where first nets 45 points, second is worth 42, third is worth 41, and so on. Every lap led NOW equals an extra 0.25 points. Every fastest clocked lap equals an extra 0.45 points. Laps led are 0.25 points per lap and place differential is plus or minus one point. Also, stage wins are worth one point apiece.
For NASCAR, we are going to try and focus on the main board's Fantasy Score and see which players may go over or under their projected point totals. Let's see what the board offers today!
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Fantasy Score Point Totals
Chase Elliott Less 52.5 Points.
The numbers are quite an unknown here. After all, Chase Elliott has missed six races due to a broken leg. How will he do on a short-track which features lots of shifting and quick decision-making?
Elliott did not qualify well and starts 24th. Does he contend? Does Elliott finish the race? Playing the percentages dictates no win and the increasingly likely chance he finishes outside the top ten on Sunday afternoon.
Aric Almirola Less 31.5 Points.
The choice is not easy here because Aric Almirola does thrive on some short tracks. However, that third-place qualifying effort helps in the place differential department. If the Ford loses enough spots, that could push his point total just under the 31.5 point mark.
He will not lead laps at Martinsville. That seems likely. His low down force total speed was only 16th at Richmond so Almirola may falter a bit late. Take the less here as other faster long-run cars mop up the fastest and led lap categories for Sunday afternoon from Martinsville.
Brad Keselowski MORE 35.5 Points.
This is the another RFK Racing roll of the dice. Brad Keselowski starts 21st and consistency is on our side. Does Keselowski get close to the top 10? Now, the good news is that Keselowski has finished in the top-five three times in the last six appearances. Utilizing that math once more gets Keselowski into the green for us.
The Ford ends up where we need him week after week. We got lucky again the last few races with the No. 6 car. Let's see what he can do on what may be a cooler than expected track.
Denny Hamlin MORE 47.5 Points.
It is unfortunate that Denny Hamlin has had some awful luck lately (some self-inflicted). However, he likes to lead laps at Martinsville. Last year, he led 203 laps and in three of the past four races led 100+ laps. The No. 11 Toyota drove his way to a ton of fastest laps as well.
Hamlin starts 11th on Sunday which carries some danger. However, the Joe Gibbs Racing driver figures to have track conditions on his side. Few drivers love the 20-second laps quite like Hamlin.
Christopher Bell MORE 50.5 Points.
This could prove to work again Sunday afternoon. The Christopher Bell express of consistency is starting to rival the run William Byron was on in 2021. Bell has six top-ten results in eight races and leads in points. The No. 20 Toyota learned his lessons from some of his less-than-stellar run-ins earlier in his career.
Now, the Toyotas look like good bets late on Sunday. Our idea is to play things safe and assume Bell rises enough to contend and lead some laps. Again, enough positive place differential gets us into the cash line. Watch the weather and keep things simple is the goal.
Other Recommendations
- Joey Logano MORE 42.5 Points
- William Byron LESS 58.5 Points
- Ryan Preece LESS 38.5 Points
- Chris Buescher MORE 24.5 Points
- Kevin Harvick LESS 50.5 Points
