Holger Rune vs. Roman Safiullin Betting Analysis and Prediction

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Holger Rune vs. Roman Safiullin Betting Analysis and Prediction

The Brisbane International in Australia is one of the premier tournaments in the lead up to the Australian Open, one of the four biggest tennis events of the season. The men’s draw for the ATP 250 hard court tournament began earlier this week and is coming to a conclusion with just four players left.

Holger Rune vs. Roman Safiullin Picks

  • Pick: Safiullin +150

In one of the two semi-finals, top seed Holger Rune takes on Russian Roman Safiullin at Pat Rafter Arena. Both players are looking to gain some momentum ahead of the Australian Open, particularly Rune, who had a breakthrough year in 2023 but is still looking for grand slam success. Let’s take a look at the Rune vs. Safiullin betting analysis.

Rune vs. Roman Safiullin Odds

Holger Rune vs. Roman Safiullin Information

Holger Rune vs Roman Safiullin

Location of the game: Queensland Tennis Centre in Brisbane, Australia

Date & Time: Saturday, January 6 at 12 a.m. ET

How to Watch: Tennis TV

Holger Rune vs. Roman Safiullin Recent Scores

Rune, the top seed in Brisbane and the world No. 8, hasn’t had an easy run to the semi-finals in scores and odds but has shown the on-court toughness and resilience for which he is known. He needed a second set tiebreak to beat Australian qualifier James Duckworth in the quarter-finals and got through his first two opponents – Alexander Shevchenko and Max Purcell – in three sets.

Safiullin wasn’t among the tennis predictions to win the tournament, but is now two wins away from his first career title on the ATP Tour. He opened the tournament with an upset victory over Ben Shelton in three sets and then beat Aussie Alexei Popyrin 6-7 (11), 6-4, 7-6 (7) in a thrilling match. He won his quarter-final match 7-6 (7), 6-2 over Matteo Arnaldi.

Holger Rune vs. Roman Safiullin Betting Analysis

Rune Rolling as the Top Seed

The United Cup, a mixed-gender tournament, is also going on in Australia right now and that’s where most of the world’s top players are, including Novak Djokovic, Stefanos Tsitsipas, Alexander Zverev, and Hubert Hurkacz. That leaves Rune as the top seed in Brisbane and he has thrived with the pressure this brings, coming into his semi-final match as a favorite in tennis odds for the Rune vs. Safiullin betting analysis.

Rune needed to get a few wins under his belt after losing his only two matches at the Nitto ATP Finals and having a disappointing finish to last season. He only qualified for one semi-final since June and hasn’t won a title since April. In fact, since losing to Carlos Alcaraz in the quarters at Wimbledon, he went just 6-11.

Safiullin Building on Solid Finish to 2023

Safiullin, meanwhile, had much better tennis stats to close out the 2023 season and appears to be building upon that momentum. The 26-year-old player reached his first career ATP final at the ATP 250 event in Chengdu, China, and went 11-5 in his last 16 matches to finish the year. He reached the Round of 16 at the ATP Masters 1000 in Paris, scoring a Round of 32 upset over Alcaraz in straight sets.

Safiullin has never played Rune in his career but has shown the ability to take down top-ranked players. In addition to Alcaraz, he scored wins over Zverev, Andy Murray, Aslan Karatsev, and Tommy Paul last year.

Updates

Both players are healthy heading into this match. The winner advances to the final, where they’ll meet either Grigor Dimitrov or Rafael Nadal/Jordan Thompson.

Holger Rune vs. Roman Safiullin Betting Preview

For those wondering how to bet on tennis for the Rune vs. Safiullin betting analysis, it’s worth noting Rune is the betting favorite with tennis odds of -220 for the moneyline. Safiullin is a +150 moneyline underdog.

Holger Rune vs. Roman Safiullin Betting Prediction

Safiullin has shown the ability to beat top players and has performed well in premier events during the last 52 weeks. Rune has been on court longer and may be looking too far ahead to the Australian Open, whereas Safiullin is desperate to win his first career ATP title after coming so close last season. He’s a great value upset bet at +150.

  • Pick: Safiullin +150

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