Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Odds, Picks, Predictions: Can Toronto Rebound at Home?

The Toronto MapleLeafs look to bounce back from a loss on Saturday when they return to the comfortable confines of Scotiabank Arena to host the slumping NewYork Islanders on Monday. Read on for our best Islanders vs. Maple Leafs pick based on topodds.

Although they arecoming off a 3-2 loss in overtime at Montreal on Saturday, the MapleLeafs remain one of the top teams in the league, especially on home ice.

Toronto has a 17-3-4record at Scotiabank Arena this season, the third-best home record in theleague.

While the Islanders are ostensiblyin the race for a playoff spot, they have just one win in the pastnine games.  

Here is our best Islandersvs. Maple Leafs NHL pick (odds via Caesars Sportsbook; pickconfidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Game Info

• Date: Monday, Jan. 23, 7 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN+, Sportsnet, MSGSN
• Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Odds

Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Odds Analysis

The FanDuel moneyline opened with the MapleLeafs favored at -200, compared to the Islanders at +164.

With 74% of the earlyconsensus moneyline wagers on the Maple Leafs, it now costs -235 for a Torontowin on the moneyline, with the Islanders priced at +190.

The total briefly opened at 6.5 -110 onboth sides of the ledger. The total quickly shifted to 6 and, with 57%of the action on the Under, the U6 is -128, while the Over is +104.

Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Pick

Maple Leafs -1.5 (+110) vs. Islanders ⭐⭐⭐

Even if regularseason results won’t do much for fans who yearn for any kind of playoff success, it's still notable that the Maple Leafs arein fourth place in the entire league with 64 points.

The Leafscontrol 56.8% of expected goals and 60.5% of goals scored during five-on-fiveplay on home ice, ranking fourth and third, respectively.

The Islanders havebeen struggling since losing shutdown defenseman Adam Pelech to an upper-bodyinjury in early December. They had a 16-10 record when Pelech got hurt, but are just 7-10-5 since. The good news for the Islanders is that Pelech was activated from the injured list on Monday afternoon.

The Islanders are ateam of special team extremes. They rank 31st in goals per 60minutes during five-on-four play but are No. 2 in rate of goals allowed per60 minutes during four-on-five play.

Against a Torontoteam that has looked unbeatable on home ice, the Islanders should beovermatched. The moneyline doesn't offer much value, so take the Maple Leafs to cover thepuck line since nine of Toronto’s 17 home wins have been by a margin of morethan one goal.

Islanders vs. Maple Leafs Best Odds

Caesars, PointsBet (+110)

The puck line isrelatively consistent at most of the top-rated sportsbooks, with the price for Toronto-1.5 ranging between +105 and +115. 

DraftKings hasshifted its standard puck line to Maple Leafs -2.5, with a +180 payout – and asmuch as I like the Maple Leafs to win this game, I have an aversion to a 2.5-goalspread in the NHL because teams with multi-goal leads tend to play much moreconservatively.

Islanders-Maple Leafs pickmade 1/23/2023 at 1:15 p.m. ET.

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