Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Odds, Picks, Predictions: Can Toronto Trounce Tired Florida?

An Atlantic Divisionbattle goes in Toronto on Tuesday when the Maple Leafs host the FloridaPanthers. Read on for our best Panthers vs. Maple Leafs pick based on top odds.

The Panthershad the best record in the league last season, but are now scrambling for aplayoff spot this season.

Monday’s win at Buffalogives the Panthers 46 points in 45 games, which is four points behind thePittsburgh Penguins for the final Wild Card playoff spot in the Eastern Conference.

It is a decidedly differentstory for the Toronto Maple Leafs, who have dropped back-to-back games but remain tiedfor fourth place in the entire league with 59 points in 44 games.

Here is our best Panthersvs. Maple Leafs NHL pick (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook;pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Game Info

• Date: Tuesday, Jan. 17, 7 p.m. ET
• TV: ESPN+, TVAS, SNO, BSFL
• Location: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Odds

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Odds Analysis

The moneyline opened at FanDuel with theMaple Leafs favored, priced at -184, with the Panthers at +152 as underdogs. Eventhough 77% of the moneyline wagers have come in for the Leafs, the odds moved alittle towards Florida.

The Panthers are +146 at FanDuel, with Toronto pricedat -178.

The total opened at 6.5, with the Overat -110 and the Under priced at -112. With 57% of the consensus wagers on the Over,the price has shifted. The Over is now at -118, with the Under priced at -105at FanDuel.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Pick

Maple Leafs -1.5 vs. Panthers (+145) ⭐⭐⭐

Leaving Florida hasnot been good to the Panthers.

Even after Monday’s win at Buffalo, the Panthersare just 10-14-1 on the road; that .420 points percentage ranks 28th. Florida has a 4-6 recordin its past 10 road games and, notably, each of those six losses has been by a margin of more than one goal.

It has been anotherdifficult season for Panthers goaltender Sergei Bobrovsky, who has a .892 savepercentage and 3.37 goals against average in 16 home games. And even if the Panthersactivate Spencer Knight from the injured list, his road performance has been verysimilar – a save percentage of .893 to go with a 3.44 goals against average.

While the Panthersstruggle on the road, the Maple Leafs have a 15-3-4 record at Scotiabank Arena.That .773 home points percentage ranks third in the league.

That record issupported by Toronto’s underlying numbers at home. The Leafs have controlled 57.1%of expected goals and 60.0% of actual goals during five-on-five play. Thoserates rank fourth and fifth in the league, respectively.

Toronto is also catching thePanthers on the second game of a back-to-back, an ideal opportunity for theMaple Leafs to deliver a decisive home victory.

Panthers vs. Maple Leafs Best Odds

DraftKings (+145)

Pricing is consistentacross most of the top sportsbooks, with the Maple Leafs -1.5 costing between -120and -122.

There is some rangeon the puck line for this game, with DraftKings offering the most appealingreturn at +145. Relative to BetMGM and FanDuel, there is a 9-10 percent advantageat DraftKings, making it the obvious spot to make this bet.

Since the moneylinehas moved a little towards Florida, I'm inclined to wait until closerto puck drop to grab the best price on Toronto’s puck line.

Panthers-Maple Leafs pick made 1/17/2023 at 2 p.m. ET.

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