Italy vs Wales Six Nations prediction, odds and betting tips
The battle to avoid this year’s Wooden Spoon takes place in the Stadio Olimpico this weekend.
Wales are a team in turmoil both on and off the pitch, and they will desperately want to stop the rot when they visit the Italian capital on Saturday afternoon. Despite being winless so far, Italy will fancy their chances after a string of much-improved performances this Championship.
Italy vs Wales odds
Here are the latest match odds for Italy vs Wales from bet365.
- Italy: 6/5
- Tie: 20/1
- Wales: 4/6
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Italy vs Wales Prediction
Wales will come into this weekend’s encounter with their heads in their hands. The Six Nations has been a rough ride for Warren Gatland’s side so far, and a defeat to Italy would all but condemn them to the Wooden Spoon this year. It has been 20 years since the Welsh finished in the bottom position; a defeat this weekend would all but confirm their fate this year. The bookies have marked them as favourites for the game at 4/6.
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While winless, the Italians have performed well at the Stadio Olimpico, making things tricky for France and Ireland in their first two home games. The Azzuri will be without Ange Capuozzo, one of the players who was a stand-out in their win at the Principality last year, but they will still be feeling optimistic that they can finally shake their status as perennial Wooden Spoon winners with a win on Saturday afternoon. The Italians have picked up the unwanted honour every year since 2015, but we fancy them to avoid it this year. You can get them at 6/5 with bet365 and other bookmakers to pick up their first win on Saturday.
Italy vs Wales betting tips
Here are the best bets for the Italy vs Wales match:
Italy to win at 6/5
It is not very often that we tip an Italy victory, but given Wales’s terrible run this Championship, there has never been a better time to back them. The Italians will feel quietly confident after their first two home performances in the competition. They managed to give France a fight in the opening fixture and were not as humiliated by Ireland as many had predicted. The Azzurri picked up a victory over Wales in Cardiff in last year’s Six Nations, and they will fancy their chances of repeating that on Saturday. At 6/5, with Wales being preferred as favourites, this is a great value bet.
Italy to win by 6-10 Points
Picking winning margin bets can be tricky, but at odds of 6/1 with Spreadex, Italy to win by 6-10 points against Wales is an attractive proposition. The game between the two teams promises to be a tight encounter. Wales have struggled to amass points so far this tournament, picking up 27 points in their first three games. In contrast, the Italians have managed 60 points across their three losing efforts, something that Warren Gatland’s team will be all too aware of. With the odds between the two teams being quite tight, some good value can be found in the points markets.
Edoardo Padavani Anytime Tryscorer at 9/5
Edoardo Padavani is likely to be the Italian’s biggest threat on Saturday afternoon, and we believe there is some value to be had from him in the anytime tryscorer market. The Welsh have looked weak on the wings, and the Italians will be looking to exploit that weakness, with Padavani being the most likely to benefit. He can be found at 9/5 to score a try at any time with Bet365. You can also take a much more enthusiastic punt on him being the first try scorer at 12/1 with Bet365.
How to watch Italy vs Wales
- Location: Stadio Olimpico
- Date and Time: March 11th 14:15
- How to watch: ITV/ITV X
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