Jets vs. Bills NFL Player Props, Odds

sportsbookreview.com

17 November 2023

The Buffalo Bills host the New York Jets in a Week 11 AFC East showdown, and we have our best Jets vs. Bills NFL player props for Week 11 based on the best NFL odds at our best sports betting apps.

When these two teams met in Week 1, Buffalo Bills quarterback Josh Allen threw for 236 yards, one touchdown, and three interceptions. New York Jets running back Breece Hall finished the game with 10 carries for 127 yards, and Bills wideout Stefon Diggs hauled in 10 passes for 102 yards and one touchdown.

Entering this week, the Jets haven’t scored a touchdown in their last two games, and Allen has thrown at least one interception in six consecutive games.

NFL Week 11 predictions and Week 11 best bets, along with our Week 11 NFL props to accompany ourbest Jets vs. Bills NFL player props for Week 11 (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Jets vs. Bills NFL player props: Week 11

Zach Wilson Over 202.5 passing yards (-115 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

Wilson has thrown for 240 or more yards in three consecutive games. While he has looked far from great in any of those games, he’s done enough in the early game to rack up plenty of yardage in the fourth quarter when his team is trailing, and he’s up against prevent defenses.

The Bills’ defense hasn’t been the problem over their recent skid. They’ve allowed 24 points in each of their last two games despite being tasked with short fields because of turnovers. If they continue to play how they have, the Bills will have a lead in the fourth quarter of this game. That’s when Wilson will shine like he has done in his last three games, as he manages to do just enough to get over 200 yards.

All of our best sports betting apps — except for FanDuel — have this prop listed at 202.5. FanDuel has it listed at 206.5. If this indicates where the number will move, we’d get in sooner rather than later. Though Wilson has put up really good yardage totals, we still don’t want to be stuck taking him to go over 210 yards in a game.

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Josh Allen to throw an interception (-155 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Bills offensive coordinator Ken Dorsey was fired after Monday night’s game. His absence isn’t going to prevent Allen from throwing at least one pick for a seventh consecutive game.

The play-calling hasn’t been great in Buffalo, but Allen’s decision-making has been bad over the last few weeks. He’s consistently throwing into double coverage and forcing passes that have very low conversion rates. Allen has thrown 10 interceptions in 10 games against the Jets, and after what they did to him in Week 1, it’s hard to believe he will end his terrible stretch against them.

This prop is expensive, with bet365 offering the best price at -155. Our other best sports betting sites offer this line as high as -166. We understand the risk involved with this play, but this is the closest thing you’re getting to a lock on Sunday.

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Dalton Kincaid Under 49.5 receiving yards (-110 via bet365, BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Kincaid has been the most consistent part of the Bills’ offense over the past four weeks. He’s recorded at least five catches and at least 51 yards in four straight games, as Allen has targeted him at least six times in each game. He’s become an integral part of the offense after failing to hit 50 yards in any of his first five games.

However, Kincaid is about to have a rough game on Sunday. The Jets are phenomenal against tight ends. They’ve allowed just 379 yards to them this season, which is tied for the seventh-best mark in the league. When Kincaid faced them, he caught four passes but only managed 26 yards.

Our best sports betting sites have Kincaid’s total listed at 49.5. Only bet365 and BetMGM are offering the under for -110 or better. We don’t expect this line to move much at all, but we’d take this all the way down to 45.5. Therefore, it may be worth waiting to see if the public bets this up, and you can get under 49.5 for a better price or under 50.5 for -110 or better before kickoff.

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Jets vs. Bills player props made Friday at 10:03 a.m. ET.