Josh Allen NFL Player Props, Odds Week 17: Predictions for Patriots vs. Bills
The Buffalo Bills host the New England Patriots, as we make our best Josh Allen NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds at the best sportsbooks.
Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills have won three consecutive games and can wrap up a playoff berth this week. During the three-game winning streak, Allen’s numbers have been standard. He’s thrown for 237 yards or fewer in each game while throwing just three touchdowns and two interceptions.
When he faced the New England Patriots earlier this season, he finished 27-41 for 265 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. He also added a rushing touchdown.
In addition to our NFL Week 17 predictions and NFL Week 17 player props, including Mike Procter’s expert NFL Week 17 upsets, here are our best Josh Allen NFL player prop predictions for the New England Patriots vs. Buffalo Bills 17 matchup (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Josh Allen NFL player prop predictions for Week 17
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Josh Allen player props
Josh Allen Under 239.5 passing yards (-103 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐
Allen has thrown for over 240 yards eight times this season. Half of those games were Bills’ losses, while three of the other four saw the Bills win by at least 26 points. While Buffalo could blow out New England on Sunday, he’s struggled throughout his career against his division rivals.
Allen has thrown for more than 250 yards in four of his 10 games against the Patriots. Earlier this season, he had one of his better yardage days of the year, but he was held in check until the fourth quarter. Many may look at the Bills’ recent successes and think Allen has turned a corner, but in reality, the Bills offense has just been more balanced which has led to their success. Expect a large dose of running from the offense this week, as Allen throws for fewer than 240 yards for the fourth consecutive game.
The total is listed at 239.5 at every major NFL prop betting sites except for FanDuel, where the total is 240.5. Because FanDuel is asking -114 for the under, it’s not worth getting the extra yard. Instead, wager at BetMGM, the sportsbook with the best price for under 239.5.
Josh Allen Over 0.5 interceptions (+105 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐
With just one interception in his last two games, the price has finally become reasonable for Allen to throw an interception. Allen still has 15 interceptions this year, and he’s thrown at least one in all but three of his games. Earlier this season, the Patriots picked him off in their 29-25 win.
The Patriots are one of the worst teams in the league when it comes to picking off opponents. They’re tied for the ninth-fewest this season. However, Allen has thrown interceptions against everyone, no matter how bad their secondary is. In a game the Bills should lead from start to finish, he’s still going to make enough errant throws to hit this over.
The price at the NFL prop betting sitesfor this market ranges from -110 to +105. At the moment, bet365 and BetMGM are asking +105 for the over, which is the best price currently available.
Josh Allen Under 21.5 completions (+100 via Caesars) ⭐⭐
For Allen to complete more than 21 passes, his team generally needs to lose. This season, he’s completed more than 21 passes in eight games. Three of those performances came in wins, while the other five came in losses.
Over the last two weeks, Allen has completed a total of 22 passes. With weather expected to be a factor in Buffalo this weekend, the Bills should take some of the pressure off Allen with the run game. Additionally, the Bills should win this game by a solid margin. If they do, then Allen will barely throw the ball in the second half as the Bills look ahead to next week’s matchup with the Miami Dolphins.
The price for the Under ranges from -115 to +100. Anything at the NFL prop betting sites -110 is worth taking, but with Caesars offering +100 at the moment, it doesn’t make sense to wager anywhere else.
Josh Allen player prop picks made 12/30/2023 at 11:07 a.m. ET.
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