J.J. McCarthy Player Props, Odds: Predictions for Washington vs. Michigan in National Championship

sportsbookreview.com

07 January 2024

J.J. McCarthy Player Props, Odds: Predictions for Washington vs. Michigan in National Championship

Our J.J. McCarthy player props based on the best college football odds at the bestcollege football betting sites believe in the Michigan quarterback against Washington ahead of Monday's national championship game.

Michigan quarterback J.J. McCarthy has been one of the most-scrutinized players in college football during his career. That's what happens when the Wolverines have made the College Football Playoff in each of the last three seasons.

But McCarthy can prove his biggest critics wrong on Monday by leading Michigan to its first national title since 1997. With Heisman finalist Michael Penix Jr. on the other side for Washington, McCarthy might need to post a career night for the Wolverines to finish off an undefeated season.

To go along with our Washington vs. Michigan prediction and our Washington vs. Michigan player props, here are our best J.J. McCarthy player props for Monday's national championship game (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

J.J. McCarthy player props: National Championship

J.J. McCarthy Under 7.5 rushing attempts (-125 via ESPN BET) ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐

Despite getting healthy during the month between games, McCarthy didn't use his legs much against Alabama during an overtime win in the CFP semifinals. McCarthy recorded three rushing attempts for 25 yards, netting a big gain on a designed run in the first half on nifty play design.

With McCarthy's rushing yardage prop trading in the 20s once again, we prefer betting against his volume with ESPN BET. McCarthy has recorded eight-plus rushing attempts in only two games so far this season, averaging 4.2 rushes per contest. McCarthy has finished with six or fewer rushing attempts in four straight games entering Monday's matchup.

Because we project just below 20 rushing yards for McCarthy, there is some value on Under 25.5 rushing yards at FanDuel when the rest of the best sports betting apps dropped the mark down to 20.5. But this is the better wager for the same angle, and that's why it's a five-star play.

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J.J. McCarthy Over 16.5 completions (-114 via ESPN BET) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

If the Huskies were to win the national title on Monday night, they would be one of the worst defenses to do so in quite some time. They rank 44th on defense via SP+. That doesn't necessarily mean they can't secure the crown, but it does mean that McCarthy's props are probably too low given the favorable matchup.

We project McCarthy to flirt with 200 passing yards and multiple touchdown passes against Washington, which is actually right in line with the market. His passing yards prop is trading in the 190s at our best sports betting sites, while his touchdown total is being set at 1.5 with the Over priced at plus-money.

Rather than take those production-related props, however, we prefer betting on McCarthy to finish with at least 17 completions. He did just that against Alabama on a night when he finished only 17-of-27, and he's cleared this mark in six different games thus far.

Washington is surrendering nearly 24 completions per game so far this season, and I think we see McCarthy take advantage of a soft secondary when he's asked to throw the ball.

J.J. McCarthy Under 0.5 interceptions (-125 via Caesars) ⭐⭐⭐

The start of the Rose Bowl was a near-nightmare for McCarthy and Co., when he threw an interception on the first play of the game. Ultimately, the turnover was overturned and McCarthy never put the ball in harm's way again.

McCarthy has thrown four interceptions all season, with three of them coming in a win over Bowling Green back in September. Since then, McCarthy has finished 10 of his 11 games without throwing an interception. He has just eight turnover-worthy plays over that span, per PFF.

Caesars is offering a nice deal with this -125 price, especially when you consider FanDuel is charging as much as -146 for the same wager. This is only a three-star play because projecting turnovers is ultimately rather difficult.

J.J. McCarthy player props made Sunday at 11:45 a.m. ET.