Jordan Love NFL Player Props, Odds Wild Card Weekend: Predictions for Packers vs. Cowboys

Green Bay Packers QB Jordan Love gets set for his first career playoff game against the Dallas Cowboys on Sunday, and we offer our best Jordan Love NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds ahead of Wild Card Weekend.

After clinching the No. 7 seed in the NFC playoffs, the Green Bay Packers (9-8) are looking for their first playoff win since the 2021 divisional round. They'll need a big game from QB Jordan Love in his playoff debut against the No. 2 seed Dallas Cowboys (12-5) in Sunday's first game over NFL Wild Card Weekend.

Love played well in his team's Week 18 win over the Chicago Bears, throwing for 316 yards and two TDs to lead his team to a 10th straight win over its division rival. A win on Sunday will be a much taller task and would be Green Bay's second-largest upset in playoff history, as the Cowboys enter Sunday as big favorites after their third straight season with 12-plus wins.

Here are our best Jordan Love NFL player prop predictions for the Packers vs. Cowboys matchup on NFL Wild Card Weekend (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Jordan Love NFL player prop predictions for Wild Card Weekend

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Jordan Love player props

Jordan Love Over 242.5 passing yards (-114 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

Love is the only NFC quarterback still playing (and one of four in total) that does not have playoff experience, and he's one of four QBs making their first playoff start over Wild Card Weekend.

As a result, most have penciled in the Cowboys to move onto the Divisional Round. However, while Green Bay’s 9-8 record may not be eye-popping, Love turned heads with 4,159 passing yards in his first full season as a starter - which would be a franchise record for four other teams.

Love may not have much big-game experience, but a regular-season game does not get much bigger than last week's win-and-in matchup with the Bears. In that game, Love had his highest completion percentage (84.4%) and second-most passing yards (316) of his career, so we do not expect the lights to be too bright for him this weekend.

Love’s stellar play in the second half of the season should not go unnoticed. From Weeks 1-10, he ranked 16th in EPA/play, 25th in success rate, and 38th in completion percentage. However, since Week 11, he ranks in the top six in all three categories, and he ranks in the top 11 in yards per attempt and fourth in completion percentage over expected since Week 9.

We expect him to perform well statistically on Sunday - especially indoors, where weather is not a factor. Even though we are paying up slightly in price for this wager at FanDuel, we are getting a much better number compared to the O/U of 248.5 passing yards offered across our other best sportsbooks.

Jordan Love Over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐

Quarterbacks making their first playoff start against quarterbacks with playoff experience are 17-36 SU in the last 53 instances. But if Green Bay loses this game, we do not expect it to be because of poor play from Love.

Love has 18 touchdown passes versus one interception in his last eight games, and he's thrown multiple touchdown passes in eight of the previous nine contests - four of which came against playoff teams.

Per PFF, Love’s 25 passing touchdowns in the red zone are the second-most in the league, and he faces a Cowboys defense that ranks in the bottom eight of the league in passing yards per attempt allowed since Week 13. And per Sharp Football Analysis, Green Bay has started games off strong with the third-most points per drive (2.85) in the first half of games in the last eight weeks, along with a tie for the league’s best first-half point differential in that span (+59).

We expect Love to help the Packers start strong again and continue his stretch of multiple passing touchdowns. The Over for this wager is juiced as high as -135 at Caesars, so DraftKings provides the best value. 

Jordan Love Under 0.5 interceptions (+108 via BetRivers) ⭐⭐⭐

Love has thrown just one interception in the last eight games and none in the last four, so we are jumping at the opportunity to get plus-money odds on this wager.

Dallas did outscore its opponents by an average of 21.5 points per game at home and had 10 more takeaways at home than the next closest team, which is the only thing preventing this from being a more confident four-or-five-star play.

However, per Packers staff writer Jacob Morley, Love’s completion percentage and quarterback rating from a clean pocket ranks sixth and ninth, respectively, since Week 9. Even if Dallas’s league-best pass rush gets pressure more often than not, Love ranks second in the league with a 75 QBR under pressure since Week 10.

In addition, Green Bay’s offensive line sustained its blocks for 2.5 seconds on 95% of its snaps last week per Next Gen Stats, which was the highest Pass Block Win Rate in any game this season.

All of our best sports betting sites are offering plus-money odds for this wager, but only BetRivers was higher than the +106 found at Caesars.  

Jordan Love player prop picks made Saturday at 6:58 a.m. ET.

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