Josh Allen NFL Player Props, Odds Week 6: Predictions for Giants vs. Bills on SNF

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14 October 2023

Josh Allen NFL Player Props, Odds Week 6: Predictions for Giants vs. Bills on SNF

The Buffalo Bills host the New York Giants as we make our best Josh Allen NFL player prop predictions based on the best NFL odds.

Though the Buffalo Bills lost last week, QB Josh Allen had a solid day statistically. He went 27-for-40 for 359 yards, two touchdowns, and one interception. He has now thrown for 300 yards in back-to-back games after failing to hit that mark in any of his first three contests.

On Sunday night, Allen will face a New York Giants defense that is allowing 383.8 yards per game. The Giants have allowed at least 24 points in every game this season.

To accompany our Giants vs. Bills predictions and NFL best bets, here are our best Josh Allen NFL player prop predictions for Sunday Night Football, and don't miss our Giants vs. Bills player props (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Josh Allen NFL player prop predictions for Week 6

Josh Allen player props

Josh Allen Under 265.5 passing yards (-110 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐

After two massive games in a row, we expect Allen to fall back to his average pretty hard this week. However, his throwing for less than 265.5 yards has nothing to do with talent or the defense he’s facing, which is why this is just a three-star play.

The Bills are 14.5-point favorites, and that spread only grows with Tyrod Taylor starting under center for the Giants. The Bills may win this game by 28 or more points, something they have already done thrice this season. While Allen has gone Over this passing prop number in two of those three wins, there is a good chance that he throws the ball very little in the second half of this one.

Additionally, the Giants are allowing 151.4 rushing yards per game. James Cook and the rest of the Bills’ rushing attack will have wide-open running lanes throughout this contest. Don’t be alarmed if Allen has 175 passing yards at halftime. The second half will be a heavy dose of the rushing attack as the Bills try to run the clock and leave with the win.

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Josh Allen Under 1.5 passing touchdowns (+170 via bet365) ⭐⭐

Make sure you shop around our best sports betting apps for this bet. FanDuel currently has the price for the Under at +118. That’s the worst price at any of the sportsbooks by a wide margin.

Once again, the game script could pose an issue for Allen from a prop wagering perspective. When looking at his stats, this seems like an obvious Over. However, he does have two games this season with just one touchdown pass. One of those performances came in the Bills’ 37-3 win over the Washington Commanders.

Of course, Allen could be why the Bills jump out to an early lead. But the value just isn’t there to take the Over. DraftKings is asking -195 for him to throw two or more touchdowns. It’s too steep of a price. The value is on the Under in what is sure to be a lopsided game.

Josh Allen longest completion Over 37.5 yards (-110 via BetMGM) ⭐⭐⭐⭐

The Giants’ defense gives up huge plays week after week. In four of their five games, they have allowed passes of 40 or more yards. The only team that was unable to hit this prop was the Arizona Cardinals, and they had only two such plays all season.

Four different Bills’ receivers have catches of 40 or more yards this season. Stefon Diggs has accomplished this feat twice. Even though Allen may not be throwing in the second half of this game, the Bills offense is prone to big plays, and the Giants are prone to giving them up. That makes this his best prop of Sunday night.

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Josh Allen player prop picks made 10/14/2023 at 9:38 a.m. ET.