Kentucky Downs: September 9 Analysis, Breeders Cup Preps

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07 September 2023

Kentucky Downs: September 9 Analysis, Breeders Cup Preps

The competitive meet from Kentucky Downs will run their biggest card on Saturday. The card features the Turf Cup and the Turf Sprint which will gain the winner automatic entry into the prestigious Breeders’ Cup at year end.

Full Card Analysis

Kentucky Downs- 1

Post: 11:30 AM CT; $150k Maiden Special Weight, 6 f on turf; Entries: 16

#5 PERMED (5-2) claims the top spot, boasting the ability to thrive in these conditions from past outings. Her consistently strong pace figures position her well in this moderately paced race.
#13 INTO STARS (4-1) is poised for improvement after her initial start and could contend here. With a solid recent track record and Geroux on board for the Cox barn, she’s a strong contender.
#6 SOTONA (8-1) should also improve from her debut and is a solid choice for underneath positions on most tickets, given her past success in similar conditions.
#8 NOTO (5-1) makes her debut here and is a good candidate for underneath spots as well, with Geroux in the saddle for the Thomas barn.

Selections: 5 – 13 – 6 – 8

Kentucky Downs- 2

Post: 12:05 PM CT; $150k Maiden Special Weight, 1 m on turf; Entries: 16

#8 BRITISH SEA (6-1) is our top pick, expected to improve after her first start and likely to set the early pace in this race.
#12 DOUBLE YOUR MONEY (7-2) should also improve from her debut and has the potential to be a major contender. Her past races indicate she can compete at this level, and her pedigree suggests she’s a strong contender.
#13 COASTAL BRINK (6-1) appears to be among the race’s top contenders, looking like the class of the field.
#11 UNCLE BO (8-1) is another expected to improve from her initial start and should be competitive. With recent solid performances, she’s ready for a strong showing.

Selections: 8 – 12 – 13 – 11

Kentucky Downs- 3

Post: 12:40 PM CT; $1000k Aristocrat Ladies Marathon S., 1 5/16 m on turf; Entries: 6

#2 PERSONAL BEST (3-1) stands out as the best choice here, given her recent consistent performances and readiness to deliver a strong race.
#5 VERGARA (2-1) is another strong contender, fitting well in this field and displaying the ability to handle similar conditions in the past.
#4 LADY ROCKSTAR (6-1) is poised to be a major player, benefitting from a fair pace scenario and displaying even performances.
#1 SINFILTRE (4-1) also looks like a major player, with even running style and a favorable pace setup.

Selections: 2 – 5 – 4 – 1

Kentucky Downs- 4

Post: 1:15 PM CT; $160k Allowance, 1 m on turf; Entries: 16

#11 FRONTAL ATTACK (3-1) earns the top selection, well-equipped for the distance and backed by the Brown-Ortiz combination.
#6 LILAC GIRL (5-2) is expected to be competitive, boasting performances that can outshine this group. She might find the right race setup.
#14 HOWBOUTDEMAPPLES (9-2) is another competitive choice, having handled similar conditions before.
#16 MAKE THE BOYS WINK (12-1) offers value as a price horse and could contend, especially based on speed figures.

Selections: 11 – 6 – 14 – 16

Kentucky Downs- 5

Post: 1:51 PM CT; $150k Maiden Special Weight, 1 m on turf; Entries: 16

#15 WICKED AGAIN (2-1) leads our picks, well-suited for the distance and holding the pedigree to be a top contender.
#2 TORIGO (5-2) is a major player, trained by Gargan and ridden by Ortiz. Proven in similar conditions, he’s a strong choice.
#7 ST. JOHN’S (10-1) offers value and appears competitive, having succeeded in similar conditions before.
#8 ATHENS MOON (6-1) should be in the mix, having handled these conditions in previous starts.

Selections: 15 – 2 – 7 – 8

Kentucky Downs- 6

Post: 2:27 PM CT; $170k Allowance Optional Claiming, 1 5/16 m on turf; Entries: 16

#11 CORELLI (7-2) is our top choice, boasting performances that can surpass this group and holding the highest power rating.
#7 HENLEY’S JOY (6-1) should be competitive, with strong speed figures and a tactical style that allows for strategic positioning.
#4 DRIPPING GOLD (9-2) is a solid choice for underneath positions, fitting well in this field.
#6 STOLEN BASE (15-1) offers value and should be respected, especially under the Maker-Ortiz combination.

Selections: 11 – 7 – 4 – 6

Kentucky Downs- 7

Post: 3:04 PM CT; $150k Maiden Special Weight, 1 m on turf; Entries: 16

#13 MIRABELLA (9-2) earns the top spot, with the pedigree to shine in this field.
#2 LE BEAU (6-1) is a major player, backed by speed figures and past success in similar conditions.
#7 KING’S SECRET (3-1) should be competitive, given her recent form.
#11 THEROANRUNNER (15-1) offers value and should contend with tactical speed.

Selections: 13 – 2 – 7 – 11

Kentucky Downs- 8

Post: 3:40 PM CT; $1000k Exacta Systems Franklin-Simpson S., 6 1/2 f on turf; Entries: 16

#6 PLAYLIST (10-1) is our top pick, with solid recent performances and the potential for a strong race setup.
#12 BEHIND ENEMY LINES (5-1) is a major player, fitting well in this field and possibly benefiting from a hot pace.
#2 PRIVATE CREED (9-2) should be competitive, given her recent form.
#8 MO STASH (4-1) is also expected to be competitive, equipped for the distance and running style.

Selections: 6 – 12 – 2 – 8

Kentucky Downs- 9

Post: 4:16 PM CT; $1000k Castle Hill Gaming Ladies Turf S., 1 m on turf; Entries: 7

#3 WHITE FROST (9-5) stands out as the best choice, with strong recent performances and the potential to control the front end.
#7 NEW YEAR’S EVE (5-2) is a major contender, with a closing kick that can secure victory.
#1 REGAL REALM (3-1) should be in the mix, positioned well in the early flight.
#2 HAUGHTY (4-1) is also a major player, potentially getting loose on the front end.

Selections: 3 – 7 – 1 – 2

Kentucky Downs- 10

Post: 4:54 PM CT; $1000k Ainsworth Turf Sprint S., 6 f on turf; Entries: 13

#10 DREAM SHAKE (8-1) is a major player, with solid recent performances and the potential to benefit from a hot pace.
#12 DR ZEMPF (6-1) gets the top selection, well-suited for the distance.
#5 ANACONDA (8-1) is also a major contender, equipped for the distance and in good recent form.
#1 ONE TIMER (9-2) is a strong choice, backed by an impressive power rating and the Rivelli-Baird combination.

Selections: 10 – 12 – 5 – 1

Kentucky Downs- 11

Post: 5:30 PM CT; $1000k AGS Ladies Turf Sprint S., 6 1/2 f on turf; Entries: 9

#3 WAKANAKA (4-1) is our top pick, well-suited for the distance and with consistent pace figures.
#7 OUR FLASH DRIVE (10-1) offers value and appears to be a major player, fitting well in this field.
#6 BAY STORM (9-5) is a major contender, with performances that can outshine this group.
#9 GAL IN A RUSH (12-1) is a price horse and should be competitive, with the potential for a fair pace scenario.

Selections: 3 – 7 – 6 – 9

Kentucky Downs- 12

Post: 6:05 PM CT; $1700k FanDuel Kentucky Turf Cup S., 1 1/2 m on turf; Entries: 16

#2 RED KNIGHT (4-1) looks like the best choice, well-prepared for this race and poised for a strong late run.
#15 HIGHEST HONORS (8-1) is a major player, capable of handling the distance and positioned for a mid-pack run.
#6 ME AND MR. C (10-1) is a competitive option, with consistent pace figures and a well-timed run strategy.
#11 THERAPIST (7-2) is a fringe contender, backed by speed figures.

Selections: 2 – 15 – 6 – 11