Aqueduct Picks: Saturday November 18, Hill Prince Analysis

bettingnews.com

17 November 2023

Turf season is reaching its end on the New York circuit. Saturday’s Aqueduct card features two turf stakes including the grade 2 Hill Prince Stakes.

Full Card Analysis

Post: 11:50 AM ET; $70k Maiden Special Weight going 6 1/2 f on dirt; Entries: 10

#9 Six Fortyfive (6-1): Should improve off the first start and gets the top selection. Dangerous threat to get loose on the front end. Atras and Franco add credibility.
#8 Rob the Bank (8-1): Fringe contender proven to handle these conditions in previous starts.
#6 Big Prankster (5-2): Should improve off the first start, well-bred for this spot. Solid early pace figures in a race lacking front-running speed.
#3 In a Minute (10-1): Price horse and a viable option for exotic bets. Probably best to put underneath on most tickets.

Selections: 9 – 8 – 6 – 3

Post: 12:20 PM ET; $75k Allowance going 1 m on dirt; Entries: 7

#2 Quick to Accuse (2-1): Top pick, consistently excellent in recent starts. Potential to outclass the field.
#3 Bourbon Chase (6-1): Major player, well-suited for the distance. Could get the right setup.
#4 Kid Billy (3-1): Should improve off the first start and feels like a fringe contender. Shouldn’t have trouble with the distance.
#1 Engineer Empire (5-2): Fringe contender proven to handle these conditions in previous starts.

Selections: 2 – 3 – 4 – 1

Post: 12:50 PM ET; $50k Claiming going 6 f on dirt; Entries: 9

#5 Dot’s Dollar (2-1): Looks best here, shouldn’t have trouble with the distance. Solid recent performances.
#8 Mi Tres Por Ciento (8-1): Hopeful contender with consistent pace figures. Likely to be in the first flight and in with a chance late.
#4 Mr Phil (4-1): Probably best to put underneath on most tickets. Makes sense on speed figures.
#7 Chateau (8-1): Likely to be part of the early pace. Has consistent pace figures in a moderately paced race.

Selections: 5 – 8 – 4 – 7

Post: 1:19 PM ET; $100k Notebook S. going 6 f on dirt; Entries: 9

#3 Angelos the Great (2-1): Top selection, likely to be in the first flight and contend late. Weaver and Franco enhance credibility.
#6 Works for Me (5-2): Major player, strong in recent starts and looks to be the class of the field.
#2 Bonne Chance (6-1): Fringe contender, makes sense on speed figures.
#7 Perliano (10-1): Price horse and a competitive option under Atras and Rosario.

Selections: 3 – 6 – 2 – 7

Post: 1:48 PM ET; $250k Hill Prince S. going 1 1/8 m on turf; Entries: 10

#8 I’m Very Busy (6-1): Top pick, with races good enough to beat this group. Should make a well-timed run at the leaders.
#5 Faraday (10-1): Price horse and competitive under the combination of Brown and Castellano.
#1 Freedom Trail (8-1): Competitive contender, likely to be in the first flight and in with a chance late.
#3 Integration (1-1): Could be in with a shot, projected to sit mid-pack and come with one run.

Selections: 8 – 5 – 1 – 3

Post: 2:17 PM ET; $90k Allowance going 1 1/8 m on turf; Entries: 16

#4 Danzigwiththestars (9-2): Looks best here, likely to have a lot to do in the lane but could get up with a competitive run. Dutrow and Ortiz add credibility.
#7 So High (5-1): Major player, fits well in the race conditions and comes into the event in good form.
#10 Barrage (7-2): Major player, in excellent form and likely to be in the first flight.
#14 Macallan (2-1): Competitive in this spot, positioned in the second tier and looking to make a well-timed run.

Selections: 4 – 7 – 10 – 14

Post: 2:45 PM ET; $100k Key Cents S. going 6 f on dirt; Entries: 8

#5 Tricky Temper (4-1): Top selection, possibly benefiting from a hot pace. Enters the race in good form.
#3 Cara’s Time (5-2): Major player, expected to lead or be near the front. Proven ability to handle these conditions.
#6 Soloshot (7-2): Competitive contender, could get the right setup. Shouldn’t have trouble with the distance.
#7 Ashburn Alley (4-1): Should improve off the first start and a competitive option under Morley and Castellano.

Selections: 5 – 3 – 6 – 7

Post: 3:15 PM ET; $85k Maiden Special Weight going 1 1/16 m on turf; Entries: 16

#4 Positive Carry (4-1): Top pick, makes sense on speed figures.
#1 Before You Go Go (6-1): Hopeful contender under the Pletcher barn and Ortiz. Comes into the race in good form.
#15 Wynning Touch (6-1): Should improve off the first start and probably best to put underneath on most tickets. Dutrow and Ortiz add credibility.
#14 Martingale (4-1): Should improve off the first start and probably best to put underneath on most tickets. Enters the race in good form.

Selections: 4 – 1 – 15 – 14

Post: 3:43 PM ET; $150k Aqueduct Turf Sprint Championship S. going 6 f on turf; Entries: 16

#1 Wit (5-1): Looks best here, deserves respect going out for the combination of Pletcher and Ortiz. Should be sitting in the second tier and looking to make one well-timed run.
#4 Our Shot (5-2): Looks best here, with the top overall power rating in the group. Fits well enough in this field.
#11 Thin White Duke (5-1): Could be in with a shot, might get the right setup.
#2 Alogon (6-1): Could be in with a shot, likely to be in the first flight and in with a chance late. Has been solid in recent starts.

Selections: 1 – 4 – 11 – 2

Post: 4:10 PM ET; $55k Starter Allowance going 6 f on dirt; Entries: 12

#5 She’s Awesome (7-2): Top selection, with the top overall power rating in the group. Races good enough to beat this group.
#2 Bella Principessa (8-1): Competitive in this spot, seems to fit well enough in this field. Comes into the race in good form.
#12 Try It Again (15-1): Price horse and could be in with a shot. Proven to handle these conditions.
#8 Meraviglioso (15-1): Price horse, could be in with a shot. Has tactical speed and can sit just off the leaders for a stalk and pounce trip. A good bet to hit the board.

Selections: 5 – 2 – 12 – 8