Kings vs. Grizzlies same-game parlay predicitons Dec. 31: Bet on Memphis to win and an alternate under at +325
The Sacramento Kings and Memphis Grizzlies meet in a New Year's Eve showdown.
The pregame narrative: Memphis is a different team with Ja Morant in the lineup – who would have thought? I'm expecting the Grizzlies to win at home and Morant to have a big night. Taking the under on a heavily teased-up total rounds out this +325 SGP.
NBA oddsas of 1:47 p.m. on 12/31/2023.
Kings vs. Grizzlies same-game parlay
Parlay: Grizzlies moneyline + Morant over 27.5 points + Under 245.5 points (+330)
Grizzlies moneyline (-110): It's night and day for the Grizzlies when Morant suits up. Memphis is 4-1 this season when its superstar point guard is in the lineup and is 6-20 when he's out (mostly because of a self-inflicted 25-game suspension).
Last year, the Grizzlies were a league-best 35-6 at home. They've only played one home game with Morant so far but it was a resounding 116-103 win over the Indiana Pacers.
This is a good spot to back Memphis against a Sacramento team that's lost three of its past five games and owns a mediocre 7-7 road record.
Other parlay picks
Morant over 27.5 points (-120): Morant has cleared this total in three of five games since returning from suspension, putting up 30-plus points in each of those outings.
And he matches up really well against Sacramento, as evidenced by his last two games against the team (34 and 35 points).
Sacramento has allowed opponents to shoot 67.3% at the rim (shots within four feet of the basket), and 45.9% in the short midrange (shots from four to 14 feet). Those rates both rank 24th in the NBA, according to Cleaning the Glass.
Morant attempted 45% of his shots last season at the rim and an additional 35% from the short midrange. Those rates ranked in the 93rd and 83rd percentile among all NBA players.
Under 245.5 points (-315): Tonight's 236 game total asks a lot out of both teams and I'm going to get some additional security by teasing it up 9.5 points.
The Grizzlies have been one of the league's best unders teams this year with an 18-13 record. And the under on this specific total has hit in all five games with Morant in the lineup.
Sacramento also has the league's best road under rate, going under the total in nine of 14 games (64.3%).
