LAFC vs St. Louis City SC MLS Odds, Picks and Predictions July 12

St. Louis City are tops in the Western Conference, but LAFC are the team books have pegged as the massive favorites. However, our MLS betting picks believe SC have plenty of value as the road underdogs on Wednesday.

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We’ve got a big MLS clash this Wednesday with LAFC hosting St. Louis City SC. The visitors are currently top of the Western Conference, but LAFC are just two spots back and chasing hard. A win here would put LAFC just two points behind the leaders.

Can L.A. claw back an important three points here, or will St. Louis City extend their lead at the top of the conference? Don’t miss my LAFC vs. St. Louis City SC betting picks to find out what side I'm going with.

LAFC vs St. Louis City SC best odds

LAFC vs St. Louis City SC picks and predictions

Despite being two spots behind St. Louis, it’s LAFC who are favorites with the bookies. We know about the pedigree that this team has, after all, they lifted two trophies last season — but the Black and Gold haven’t been at that level this season. That presents a real betting opportunity here and I can’t help but think St. Louis City are being heavily underestimated as +480 dogs. 

We know about some of the players that LAFC have at their disposal, such as Carlos Vela, Giorgio Chiellini, and of course, Denis Bouanga, who has been in great goalscoring form this season. Likewise, we know that St. Louis City will be without Joao Klauss, a big loss given that the Brazilian has notched five times in nine games.

There’s also a chance that Eduard Lowen could miss out, but I’d expect him to be back for this game. He’ll be a big boost for the team, especially given that he’s scored five goals from midfield in 16 MLS games.

The reality is that despite some uncertainty in the SC lineup, you simply can’t back LAFC at -175. Those odds are far too short for a team who have struggled with consistency lately. This is a squad who comes into this after a 1-1 draw with a 10-man San Jose. Before that, they lost three games on the bounce including that 2-1 loss in El Traffico. They’ve also conceded the same amount of goals in 21 games as St. Louis but have scored 10 less.

St. Louis City have taken the MLS by storm in their inaugural expansion season, but although they have a youthful core, they’ve been tough to beat... winning their past three games by beating Toronto, Colorado, and San Jose, with two of those games on the road. SC have a good record on their travels this season, winning five of their 10 road games and losing just four times. 

My best bet: St. Louis City SC to win (+480 at Caesars)

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LAFC vs St. Louis City SC same-game parlay

St. Louis ML

Both teams to score

Over 0.5 1H goals

I've got a great SGP for this game too, which clocks in at a juicy +900. First of all, I’ll be backing St. Louis City to win for all of the reasons mentioned above.

To add to their odds, I’ll also be backing both teams to score. Nobody in the Western Conference has scored more than St. Louis City and only one team has outscored LAFC, so we know that both teams are more than capable of scoring. To add to that, neither team possesses a game-breaking defense. The hosts have conceded in 11 of their last 13 matches, while St. Louis City SC have allowed goals in nine of their last 11 games on the road.

Then as the final leg in this SGP, I'm expecting Over 0.5 goals in the first half of the game. There has been a first-half goal in 91.8% of LAFC’s home games this season, with just two matches going blank in the first 45 minutes. St. Louis City also love a first-half goal, with one being scored in 57.1% of the first halves that they’ve played this year.

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LAFC vs St. Louis City SC Moneyline and Over/Under analysis

My best bet for this tilt is for SC to win on the moneyline, so I won’t go into too much detail on the reasoning for that. After all, this is a St. Louis City SC team who lead the conference and come into this game on a three-match win streak, while Los Angeles FC have only managed to win two games in their last 11 attempts.

There have been Over 2.5 goals in 57.1% of LAFC’s games this season, with that number dropping to 54.5% when they’re playing on home turf. Over 2.5 goals has also landed in 66.7% of St. Louis City games this campaign, dropping to 60% — still a big number — when they’re on the road. That said, with the Over coming in at -170, I wouldn’t personally back it.

LAFC vs St. Louis City SC game info

LAFC vs St. Louis City SC key injuries

LAFC: Maxime Crepeau GK (Out), Sergi Palencia RB (Out), Jesus Murillo CB (Out), Aaron Long CB (Out).
St. Louis City SC: Joakim Nilsson CB (Out), Joao Klauss FWR (Out), Eduard Lowen CM (Questionable).

LAFC vs St. Louis City SC weather

Temperatures will be in the 80s when this game kicks off on Wednesday.