Leafs vs Bruins Odds, Prediction & Best NHL Pick for Thursday (Apr 6)

Odds as of April 5th at DraftKings Sportsbook. 

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Analysis

The Toronto Maple Leafs have been very consistent towards the end of the regular season – consistently Jekyll and Hyde, as they’ve alternated wins and losses the last nine times they’ve hit the ice. If that holds true to form, they’d be in line to lose this contest. With their first-round matchup already guaranteed to be Tampa Bay, they’ve begun to rest players for load management, like Mitch Marner and veterans Mark Giordano and Jake McCabe two games ago.

They’ll be welcoming back forward Ryan O’Reilly, who has missed 14 games with a broken finger after being acquired before the trade deadline. Be on the lookout for other players who may not play this one, as it’ll affect the lines.

For the campaign, the Leafs are ninth in both goals per game and goals allowed, and they’re second on the power play. Toronto could exploit a B’s squad that has lost their last four games with three or more days rest (their last game was Sunday).

Boston Bruins Betting Analysis

There aren’t enough superlatives to describe just how incredible the Bruins season has been. They have 60 wins with five games to go, as they have their eyes set on eclipsing the NHL record of 62 victories (1996 Red Wings, 2019 Lightning). Like Toronto, the Bruins have been focusing on load management as well, with Patrice Bergeron not lacing them up the last two times out.

— ESPN Stats & Info (@ESPNStatsInfo) March 31, 2023

Perhaps what is in the back of the Bruins’ heads is the fact the last nine Presidents Trophy winners haven’t won the Cup (including twice themselves). In fact, all but one of them have failed to make it to the Conference Finals.

Boston is a ridiculous 31-4-3 on home ice this season. Interestingly, the under is 8-2-2 in their last twelve games as a home favorite of -151 to -200.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Recent Results

Boston has won the last two against Toronto following the Leafs having their number in the last four encounters. In five of the last affairs, the over goal total has hit.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Pick & Prediction

This game should be another classic duel between two bitter rivals. Our model has this Maple Leafs vs Bruins game going the home team’s way by a 3.42-2.90 margin.

Maple Leafs vs Bruins Same-Game Parlay Picks

Despite Boston not being as strong on three days rest, they’re playing a team they’ve beaten twice in a row who is looking towards the playoffs, and the alternating wins and losses show that. Toronto is all but certain to finish second in the Atlantic.

The over is 5-1 in their last six games as a road underdog of +110 to +150.

Recently, these two foes have racked up a lot of goals when they face each other, and that should continue.

Pick: Boston Bruins Moneyline (-150), Over Six Goals (-110)