Liberty vs Oregon Odds, Spread & Prediction

On New Year’s Day, Liberty (13-0, 9-4 ATS) faces Oregon (11-2, 9-3-1 ATS) at State Farm Stadium in Glendale, AZ at 1:00 P.M. EST. This is the very first time that these schools have played each other.

The latest college football odds have Oregon as big favorites. The Ducks are 16.5-point favorites over Liberty, and the game total is set at 67.5 points.

Liberty vs Oregon Odds

Oregon opened as 14-point favorites in this game and has now moved to -16.5. The total has also moved. The O/U opened at 63.5, and it has since moved to 67.5

As -700 favorites, Oregon has an implied probability of 87.5% to win the 2023 Fiesta Bowl.

Odds as of December 29, 2023, at ESPN Sportsbook. Claim the ESPN Bet promo code to bet on Liberty vs. Oregon.

Liberty Betting Trends

The Flames have accomplished a lot this season. They are ranked No. 18 in the country, went 13-0, and won the Conference USA Championship. More importantly, they were able to clinch a New Year’s Six Bowl and face the Oregon Ducks. On the season, Liberty went 9-4 against the spread (64.3%).

A lot of that success is attributed to the offense. Liberty’s offense has been on a tear of late as they have averaged over 45 points per game in their last seven games. They have a strong rushing attack and average over 300 rushing yards per game. Liberty is also third in the nation in total yards per game with 514.9. The only teams that have more yards than the Flames are Oregon and Washington.

While the offense has been the focal point of this Liberty team, the defense has not been bad either. Liberty ranked second in their conference in scoring defense, allowing just 22.1 points per game. The Flames had one of the easiest schedules in college football this season, but they were able to do what they were supposed to do against their opponents.

Oregon Betting Trends

The Ducks were in contention for the College Football Playoff all season until they fell to Washington for the second time in the Pac 12 Championship game. Now they place the G5 representative Flames in the Fiesta Bowl. The Ducks went 9-3-1 against the spread on the year despite playing ten games with double-digit spreads. Oregon went 6-2 against the spread this season when the spread of 16.5 or more.

Perhaps the biggest news in this matchup is that Bo Nix will be playing in this game. His top receiver Troy Franklin opted out to prepare for the NFL draft, but the Ducks will still have plenty of weapons in the Fiesta Bowl. Oregon averaged the second most yards per game (526.6) in the nation this season, only trailing LSU. They also scored the second most amount of points per game with 44.2.

Oregon’s defense is also a strong unit, as they allowed just 17.3 points per game this season.

Liberty vs Oregon Prediction

The high total in this game makes sense as the No. 2 and No. 3 offenses in the country will be squaring off. Even with the total moving up, it is the right play.

Liberty will be extremely motivated to show that they belong in this bowl game, so they will find ways to get points, and Liberty’s defense has not been tested this season. Expect Oregon’s Bo Nix-led offense to put up fireworks in the Fiesta Bowl on New Year’s Day.