Liudmila Samsonova vs Aryna Sabalenka Prediction and Odds: Canadian Open 2023

The battle of the top Canadian Open seeds is about to take place. In this third-round clash, the 15th seed, Samsonova, will take on the number 2 seed, Sabalenka. Check out my breakdown and tips for this match below.

These odds from Ladbrokes were correct at the time of writing.

Samsonova vs Sabalenka – Match Predictions

If you look at players that have enjoyed one of the best seasons in 2023, it’s hard to look beyond Aryna Sabalenka. She started the year by winning the Australian Open, and she has been pretty ruthless since. Because of that, she is now the number 2 player in the world, while her opponent today, Samsonova, is number 18 in the world. So as you can see, both are top 20 players, and this promises to be a great match to watch.

But we are interested in the most appropriate tennis predictions today for this match. Therefore, please see the two predictions below for the respective betting markets:

Sabalenka to Win

If we focus on the form that Sabalenka has been in, it’s tough to see how Samsonova can win this one. Sabalenka is just relentless when she gets going, and she can hit through her lower-ranked opponent today. So for me, her power and tenacity will be enough to get the job done.

Over 21.5 Games

I’ve stated that I believe Sabalenka will win, but I don’t think it will be amazingly straightforward. I say that because Sabalenka didn’t play her best in the previous round against Martic. Adding to that, the last time these two played, Sabalenka won by a score of 7-6 7-6.

Samsonova vs Sabalenka Preview

This match will begin in the early evening UK time. Yet before it arrives, I suggest checking out the following previous for these two players:

Liudmila Samsonova Preview

Samsonova has been ranked as high as number 12 in the world in 2023. She’s also beaten Sabalenka in the past, and this occurred in Guadalajara last season (2022). As for this tournament, she struggled in her opener against Siniakova but ultimately won in three sets. Yet she looked to be playing at a much higher level in her last round against Zheng.

Aryna Sabalenka Preview

Sabalenka has only played one match at the Canadian Open as she received a bye in the opening round. Therefore, she’s played less tennis than Samsonova in the tournament so far, which can be a good or a bad thing, depending on the circumstances. With that said, I believe this is a good thing for Sabalenka, as she will be fresh and ready to do battle later today.

Samsonova vs Sabalenka Head to Head

As referenced earlier, the head-to-head for these two players is fixed at one win each. Samsonova won their first encounter in Guadalajara in 2022, a match that she won in three sets. However, Sabalenka won their second and most recent encounter in Adelaide. That match was very tight, with Sabalenka winning in two tie-break sets. So it could well be a close battle again today.

• Match Schedule – August 11th, 17:15 GMT
• Venue – Toronto, Canada
• Viewing Options – Amazon Prime