Maple Leafs vs Red Wings Prediction

pickdawgz.com

17 November 2023

The Toronto Maple Leafs will play the Detroit Red Wings on Friday afternoon at Avicii Arena in Stockholm, Sweden. Toronto has won two games in a row, while Detroit is coming off of a loss on Thursday.

Maple Leafs Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 8-5-2 this season after they defeated the Vancouver Canucks by a score of 5-2 in their last game. Toronto trailed 2-1 at the end of the first period, but they scored the next four goals for the win. The Maple Leafs were out shot by a total of 33-22 and went 0-2 on the power play in the game. Toronto defeated the Calgary Flames by a score of 5-4 in their game prior to Vancouver. The Toronto Maple Leafs are scoring 3.53 goals per game and they are allowing 3.53 goals against per game, while going 28.3% on the power play and 72% on the penalty kill. William Nylander has led the Leafs with 10 goals, 12 assists, and 70 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Joseph Woll, who is 5-4-0 this season with a 2.91 goals against average and a .908 save percentage.

Red Wings Preview

The Detroit Red Wings are 8-5-3 this year after they lost to the Ottawa Senators in overtime by a score of 5-4 on Thursday. Detroit trailed 4-0 early in the second period, but they tied the game heading into the third, before losing in the extra frame. The Red Wings out shot Ottawa by a total of 41-34 and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Detroit defeated Columbus by a score of 5-4 in the game before Ottawa. The Red Wings are scoring 3.67 goals per game and they are allowing 3.27 goals against per game, while going 22.2% on the power play and 78.9% on the penalty kill. Dylan Larkin has led the Red Wings with five goals, 12 assists, and 54 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Detroit is Alex Lyon, who is making his first appearance of the season.

Detroit Red Wings Team Facts

The Red Wings have won four of their last five games as underdogs against opponents on a winning streak.
The Red Wings have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last six games after coming off overtime.
The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in five of the Red Wings' last six games as underdogs against Atlantic Division opponents.
The Red Wings have lost the first period in each of their last four night games against Eastern Conference opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Facts

The Maple Leafs have lost 10 of their last 14 games as favorites following a win.
The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 12 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in seven of the Maple Leafs' last eight games as favorites.
Each of the Maple Leafs' last five games against opponents who are on the second leg of a back-to-back have gone OVER the total goals line.

Detroit Red Wings Player Prop Facts

Klim Kostin has scored a goal in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
J.T. Compher has recorded at least one point in each of the Red Wings' last five games against Eastern Conference opponents.
Dylan Larkin has recorded at least one assist in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
Dylan Larkin has the equal-most multi-assist games for the Red Wings this season (3).

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

William Nylander has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs' last three games.
William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs' last 18 games.
William Nylander has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs' last seven games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
Auston Matthews ranks T2nd in the league for multi-goal games (4) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

The Detroit Red Wings ranks 30th in the league for Period 1 goals scored per game this season (0.63).
The Detroit Red Wings ranks 3rd in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.56).
The Toronto Maple Leafs ranks 27th in the league in penalty kill percentage this season (72.00%).
The Toronto Maple Leafs ranks 31st in the league for Period 1 goals allowed per game this season (1.33).

Pick

Detroit comes into this game on the second game of a back to back, after losing in a shootout on Thursday. The Red Wings have lost three of their last four games and their defense has had some issues during those four games. Toronto is playing their first game on their trip to Sweden and they are on a two game winning streak. The Red Wings are starting Alex Lyon in goal, who is making his first appearance of the season, so it is tough to know what we are going to get with him. I do think playing on Thursday is actually going to benefit Detroit, as Toronto has been off since November 11th. Take the Red Wings to get the win here.