Senators vs Maple Leafs Prediction

pickdawgz.com

08 November 2023

The Ottawa Senators will play the Toronto Maple Leafs on Wednesday night at Scotiabank Arena in Toronto, Ontario. Ottawa has lost five of their last six games, while Toronto snapped their losing streak with a win in their last game.

Senators Preview

The Ottawa Senators are 4-6-0 this year after they lost to Tampa Bay by a score of 6-4 in their last game. Ottawa led 1-0 in this game, but Tampa Bay scored four goals in a row to take control and get the win. The Senators were out shot by a total of 38-28 and went 1-4 on the power play in the game. Ottawa’s only win in their last six games came against Pittsburgh. The Ottawa Senators are scoring 3.80 goals per game and they are allowing 3.50 goals against per game, while going 22.2% on the power play and 75% on the penalty kill. Brady Tkachuk has led the Senators this year with eight goals, three assists, and 42 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Ottawa is Joonas Korpisalo, who is 2-4-0 this season with a 3.44 goals against average and a .901 save percentage.

Maple Leafs Preview

The Toronto Maple Leafs are 6-4-2 this season after they defeated the Tampa Bay Lightning by a score of 6-5 in overtime in their last game. Toronto trailed 4-1 in the first period, but they forced overtime and got the win. The Maple Leafs out shot Tampa Bay by a total of 34-31 and went 0-3 on the power play in the game. Toronto had lost their previous four games to Buffalo, Boston, LA, and Nashville. The Toronto Maple Leafs are scoring 3.42 goals per game and they are allowing 3.42 goals against per game, while going 26.8% on the power play and 71.8% on the penalty kill. Auston Matthews has led the Maples Leafs this season with 13 goals, five assists, and 57 shots on goal. The projected starting goalie for Toronto is Joseph Woll, who is 4-3-0 this year with a 2.30 goals against average and a .930 save percentage.

Toronto Maple Leafs Team Facts

The underdogs have won five of the Maple Leafs' last six games.
The Maple Leafs have failed to cover the puck line in each of their last 11 games against Atlantic Division opponents.
The Maple Leafs have lost the first period in six of their last seven games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 1' market has hit in five of the last six games between the Senators and Maple Leafs at Scotiabank Arena.

Ottawa Senators Team Facts

The Senators have lost each of their last seven night games at Scotiabank Arena following a loss.
The underdogs have covered the puck line in each of the Senators' last six games.
The road team has won the second period in five of the Senators' last six games.
The 'Over 1.5 Goals Period 2' market has hit in each of the Senators' last 10 games against Atlantic Division opponents.

Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Facts

Auston Matthews has scored at least one goal in each of the Maple Leafs' last four games as favorites against Eastern Conference opponents.
William Nylander has recorded at least one point in each of the Maple Leafs' last 14 games as favorites.
William Nylander has recorded an assist in each of the Maple Leafs' last six games as favorites against Atlantic Division opponents.
Auston Matthews ranks T1st in the league for multi-goal games (4) this season.

Ottawa Senators Player Prop Facts

Tim Stuetzle has recorded at least one point in 11 of his last 12 appearances against Eastern Conference opponents.
Brady Tkachuk has recorded an assist in five of the Senators' last six games against Atlantic Division opponents.
Tim Stuetzle has the equal-most multi-assist games for the Senators this season (2).

Matchup/League Facts

The Toronto Maple Leafs ranks T30th in the league for Period 1 goals allowed per game this season (1.33).
The Toronto Maple Leafs ranks 5th in the league for Period 2 goals scored per game this season (1.33).
The Ottawa Senators ranks 3rd in the league for Period 3 goals scored per game this season (1.60).
The Ottawa Senators ranks T29th in the league for Period 2 goals allowed per game this season (1.60).

Pick

Toronto looked like they were on their way to a fifth consecutive loss in their last game, but they turned it around and got a huge overtime win. Ottawa has also struggled in recent games and they are only 1-2 on the road. Both teams have very similar numbers so far this year, but I think Toronto has a huge advantage in momentum. The Leafs win against Tampa Bay could very well provide them the boost they have been looking for. I think Toronto is going to carry that momentum into this game and win by at least two goals.