Maple Leafs vs Senators Betting Analysis and Prediction

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07 December 2023

Maple Leafs vs Senators Betting Analysis and Prediction

The Toronto Maple Leafs (12-6-4) and Ottawa Senators (10-10-0) meet on Thursday at Canadian Tire Center in an important Atlantic Division game on the NHL schedule. Both teams have failed to live up to lofty expectations entering the season and are looking to generate some momentum. The Maple Leafs are fourth in the NHL standings for the Atlantic Division and the Senators are in eighth, but have two NHL games in hand.

Maple Leafs vs Senators Picks

NHL Pick: Senators +1.5 (-198)

Joseph Woll (2.82 GAA, .915 save percentage) is expected to start in goal for the Maple Leafs. Joonas Korpisalo (3.41 GAA, .897 save percentage) is the projected starting goaltender for the Ottawa Senators. Let’s take a closer look at the NHL odds for the Maple Leafs vs Senators betting analysis.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators Odds

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Information

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators

Location of the game: Canadian Tire Center in Ottawa, Ontario

Date & Time: Thursday, December 7 at 7 p.m. ET

How to Watch: ESPN+ and TSN (Canada)

Recent Scores

In looking at the Maple Leafs vs. Senators betting analysis, Toronto comes into the game with slightly improved play as of late, even if the results don’t indicate as much.
They’re 6-2-2 in their last 10 games, but 2-1-1 in their last four games, including most recently a 4-3 loss in overtime to the Boston Bruins.
Half of the Maple Leafs NHL games this season have gone to overtime.
Ottawa, meanwhile, has won two games in a row by a combined score of 8-2.
They beat the New York Rangers 6-2 on home ice Tuesday night in what the team hopes is a statement victory.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators Betting Analysis

Expect Overtime for the Maple Leafs

As mentioned, 12 of the Maple Leafs 24 games this season have gone to overtime. There’s a positive to that as it means the team has been in seemingly every game it plays, but more is expected of one of the pre-season NHL picks to win the Stanley Cup. Toronto has had inconsistent goaltending, scoring, and poor defense, due in part to injuries, at different points throughout this season. They’ve also lost to bad NHL teams, including twice to the Chicago Blackhawks.

Overall, however, the Maple Leafs have just been mediocre, as indicated by the Toronto Maple Leafs odds for Thursday’s game. Toronto is 14th in goals per game (3.27) and 20th in goals allowed (3.32). They’re eighth in power-play at 24.2 percent, but that should be higher for a team with Auston Matthews, William Nylander, Mitch Marner, and John Tavares on its first unit.

Nylander leads the Toronto Maple Leafs in scoring with 29 points (12 goals, 17 assists), but has just two points in his last five games. Matthews has a team-leading 16 goals.

Senators Hoping to Build off of Tuesday’s Win

Ottawa has had a difficult year with the firing of its GM Pierre Dorion, a new owner, and other off-ice controversies, including the 50-game suspension handed down to Shane Pinto, an RFA who still isn’t signed. Yet, they approach the Maple Leafs vs Senators betting analysis on a positive, winning consecutive games in regulation for the first time since the first week of the season.

Ottawa is last in the Atlantic Division, but has played as much as six games fewer than sometimes. There’s a lot of time left for this team to turn things around and get back in the playoff hunt. Brady Tkachuk, one of the best Ottawa Senators picks to score a goal, leads the team with 13 goals. Tim Stutzle is first in NHL player stats with 24 points (5 goals, 19 assists).

Updates

Toronto is without Timothy Liljegren and John Klingberg, the latter of whom was placed on LTIR with a season-ending hip injury on Wednesday. Defenseman Thomas Chabot is on the NHL injury report for the Senators.

Maple Leafs vs. Senators Betting Preview

The Maple Leafs opened as NHL odds betting favorites with moneyline odds of -140 and puck line odds of -1.5 (+163).
Ottawa is a +116 moneyline underdog with puck line odds of +1.5 (-198).

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators Betting Prediction

The over/under for the Maple Leafs vs Senators betting analysis is 6.5. The over has hit in eight of the last 13 Senators games and each of the last two Maple Leafs games. The Senators puck line at +1.5 is perhaps the safest bet, considering each of the last seven Maple Leafs games have been decided by one goal.