Marlins vs. Pirates odds, tips and betting trends

Sportsbook Wire

30 September 2023

Marlins vs. Pirates odds, tips and betting trends

At PNC Park on Saturday, the Pittsburgh Pirates (75-85) face the Miami Marlins (83-76), with first pitch at 6:35 PM ET.

The Marlins are favored (-155 moneyline odds) when they visit the Pirates (+131). The matchup on the mound for this contest is set with the Miami Marlins looking to JT Chargois (2-0), and Quinn Priester (3-2) getting the nod for the Pittsburgh Pirates.

These teams meet again after the Marlins defeated the Pirates 4-3 yesterday. Huascar Brazoban picked up the win for the Marlins (1.0 IP, 0 R, 0 H, 2 K), and Jake Burger led the way offensively (2-for-4 with a double and an RBI). Colin Selby (0.0 IP, 4 R, 4 H, 0 K) was credited with the loss for the Pirates.

Before the Marlins vs. Pirates matchup, here’s what you need to get ready for Saturday’s baseball action, including viewing options.

Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates odds and betting lines

BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Saturday at 9:18 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.

Favorite: Marlins (-155, bet $155 to win $100)
Underdog: Pirates (+131, bet $100 to win $131)
Over/under: 9

The Marlins have entered the game as favorites 73 times this season and won 42, or 57.5%, of those games.
Miami has entered 32 games this season favored by -155 or more and is 24-8 in those contests.
The Marlins have a 60.8% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
Miami’s games have gone over the total in 73 of its 158 chances.
In 158 games with a spread this season, the Marlins are 72-86-0 ATS.

Chargois makes the start for the Marlins, his fifth of the season. He is 2-0 with a 3.67 ERA and 35 strikeouts in 41 2/3 innings pitched.
The righty last appeared in relief on Friday, when he threw one scoreless inning against the Pittsburgh Pirates while giving up one hit.
In 45 games this season, the 32-year-old has amassed a 3.67 ERA and 7.6 strikeouts per nine innings, while giving up a batting average of .230 to opposing hitters.
He will face off against a Pirates team that is hitting .239 as a unit (24th in MLB). It is also slugging a collective .392 (24th in MLB) with 159 total home runs (26th in MLB).
Chargois has a 0 ERA and a 1.286 WHIP against the Pirates this season in 2 1/3 innings pitched, allowing a .222 batting average over two appearances.

The Marlins have hit 165 homers this season, which ranks 23rd in the league.
Hitters for Miami have combined for a team rank of 19th in the majors with a .406 team slugging percentage.
The Marlins rank fourth in MLB with a .259 team batting average.
Miami has scored 659 runs (just 4.1 per game) this season, which ranks 27th in MLB.
The Marlins have the 20th-ranked on-base percentage in MLB this season (.316).
Miami ranks fifth in MLB in strikeouts per game with an average of 7.9 whiffs per contest.

The Pirates have been victorious in 56, or 43.4%, of the 129 contests they have been chosen as underdogs in this season.
This season, Pittsburgh has come away with a win 29 times in 64 chances when named as an underdog of at least +131 or worse on the moneyline.
The Pirates have an implied victory probability of 43.3% according to the moneyline set by sportsbooks for this matchup.
Pittsburgh’s games have gone over the total in 86 of its 160 opportunities.
In 160 games with a line this season, the Pirates have a mark of 83-77-0 against the spread.

The Pirates will send Priester (3-2) to the mound to make his eighth start of the season. He is 3-2 with a 7.86 ERA and 33 strikeouts in 44 2/3 innings pitched.
His most recent time out was on Sunday against the Cincinnati Reds, when the righty tossed six innings, surrendering two earned runs while giving up two hits.
The 23-year-old has amassed an ERA of 7.86, with 6.6 strikeouts per nine innings in nine games this season. Opposing hitters have a .273 batting average against him.
Priester is looking to record his second quality start of the season.
Priester is aiming for his third straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 4.9 innings per start.
He given up one or more earned runs in each of his outings in 2023.
He meets a Marlins offense that ranks 27th in the league with 659 total runs scored while batting .259 as a squad. His opponent has a collective .406 slugging percentage (19th in MLB play) and has hit a total of 165 home runs (23rd in the league).

The Pirates are fifth-worst in MLB play with 159 home runs.
So far this season, Pittsburgh’s .392 slugging percentage ranks 24th in the majors.
The Pirates have the 24th-ranked batting average in the league (.239).
The offense for Pittsburgh is the No. 22 offense in the majors, scoring 4.3 runs per game (686 total runs).
The Pirates’ .314 on-base percentage is 21st in the majors.