Mavericks vs. Warriors same-game parlay predictions Dec. 30: Bet on Golden State to win in +425 wager

The Golden State Warriors aim to rebound from a tough loss when they host the Dallas Mavericks

The pregame narrative: The Warriors had won eight straight home games before losing to the shorthanded Miami Heat on Thursday. That said, Golden State should find its way back into the win column tonight against a Dallas team that's dropped two straight.

NBA oddsas of 1:35 p.m. on 12/30/2023.

Mavericks vs. Warriors same-game parlay

Parlay: Warriors moneyline + Podziemski over 1.5 threes + Curry under 5.5 assists (+425)

Warriors moneyline (-167): The Warriors played arguably their ugliest game of the season two nights ago when they lost 114-102 to the Jimmy Butler-less Heat.

That's largely because Steph Curry put up just 13 points on three-of-15 shooting. Everyone is due for an off night now and then and I don't expect the greatest shooter of all time to lay another dud.

Golden State has found its groove at home, winning eight of its last 10 games at Chase Center.

Dallas, meanwhile, has dropped five of its past seven, with the two wins being over the bottom-feeding San Antonio Spurs and reeling Phoenix Suns.

Other parlay picks

Podziemski over 1.5 threes (-107): You may be asking yourself: Who exactly is Brandin Podziemski?

The rookie shooting guard isn't a household name but he's cracked Golden State's starting five in six consecutive games — and he's cleared this mark in three of his past four.

Podziemski is connecting from deep at an impressive 40.5% rate this season and now gets to go up against a Mavericks team which allows the fourth-most 3-pointers per game to opposing shooting guards (3.73), per Fantasy Pros.

Curry under 5.5 assists (-155): Backing Curry to go under this juiced-up assist total brings the parlay up from +185 to +425, thanks to some perceived negative correlation.

But Curry doesn't dish the rock much at home. He's averaging just 3.5 assists per game at Chase Center as opposed to 5.3 on the road.

Curry has gone under this mark in 10 of 14 home games and each of his last three, regardless of the venue.