Mets vs. Nationals odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Thursday, May 12 best bets from proven model

Washington Nationals and New York Mets are playing a series finale on Thursday afternoon. The Mets won the first game of the series on Tuesday. Washington won on Wednesday night. SportsLine Projection Model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times and it's on a 31-19 roll on top-rated MLB money-line picks through five weeks.

SportsLine's model has set its sights on Mets vs. Nationals and has made its picks and MLB predictions. The Mets are 12-5 in road games and the Nationals are 3-12 in home games.

Mets are 12-5 in road games and 3-12 in home games.

The Mets are off to a good start in 2022. New York has the most hits (276) and top-five marks in runs scored (143) (NL) and batting average (256). The Mets also lead the NL in on-base percentage (334). Pete Alonso is coming off a 2021 season in which he blasted 37 home runs. Washington's Joan Adon has a 6.99 ERA in six starts, but Taijuan Walker has 3.81 ERA since the start of the 2017 season.

Juan Soto is the best hitter in baseball. He finished second in the NL MVP voting this season. Washington is enjoying team-wide success on offense this year. The Nationals rank in top three of the National League with 274 hits and a .256 batting average.

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total and projects 9.8 combined runs. One side of the money line has all the value.