Brewers vs. Pirates odds, prediction, line: 2022 MLB picks, Thursday, August 4 best bets from proven model

Pittsburgh Pirates host Milwaukee Brewers in Thursday's finale of a three-game series. Pittsburgh will start Zach Thompson, while Milwaukee will go with Brandon Woodruff. Caesars Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as the -260 money-line favorite. The total number of runs Vegas thinks will be scored is eight. SportsLine's advanced computer simulation model simulates every MLB game 10,000 times. It returned almost $400 for $100 players last season.

The model has set its sights on Brewers vs. Pirates and has made its picks and MLB predictions. The money line for Brewers is -260, Pirates +210. Brewers are 24-21 in day games and Pittsburgh is 18-26 in games played in the day.

Brewers vs. Pirates is a Thursday, August 4 game. The money line is Brewers -260, Pirates +210. Over-under is 8 runs. Brewers are 24-21 in day games, Pittsburgh is 18-26 in the day.

Milwaukee's offense is more potent than Pittsburgh's. The Pirates are last in the National League in runs scored this season. Milwaukee's All-Star pitcher, Brandon Woodruff, has a 2.16 ERA in his last nine starts. Pittsburgh has allowed 14 runs in last two starts, but Woodrup has had success against Pittsburgh in 2022.

Pittsburgh has been better at home this season. Thompson will start for the Pirates on Thursday. Milwaukee's offense is below average. The Brewers also rank in the bottom five of the National League in doubles, triples and strikeout avoidance.

SportsLine's model is leaning over on the total and projects 9.6 combined runs. One side of the money line has all the value.