Mets vs. Nationals Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks
The Washington Nationals (43-59) visit the New York Mets (47-54) in NL East action, at 7:10 PM ET on Thursday.
The favored Mets (-200 moneyline odds to win) play at home against the Nationals (+168). The game’s total is set at 9.
The insights in the following article use the latest odds as of July 27, 2023 at 7:14 AM ET. Ready to bet?
Mets vs Nationals Betting Lines
Mets Betting Insights
- The Mets have been favorites in 67 games this season and won 37 (55.2%) of those contests.
- This season New York has won five of its 13 games, or 38.5%, when favored by at least -200 on the moneyline.
- The sportsbooks’ moneyline implies a 66.7% chance of a victory for the Mets.
- New York and its opponents have hit the over in 42 of its 102 games with a total this season.
- The Mets have an ATS record of 40-62-0 in 102 games with a spread this season.
Mets Last 10 Games Trend
Nationals Betting Insights
- The Nationals have come away with 38 wins in the 94 contests they have been listed as the underdogs in this season.
- This season, Washington has been victorious 16 times in 32 chances when named as an underdog of at least +168 or worse on the moneyline.
- The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Nationals have a 37.3% chance of coming away with a victory in the contest.
- Washington and its opponents have gone over in 50 of its 101 games with a total set by sportsbooks this season.
- The Nationals are 54-47-0 against the spread in their 101 games with a line set by sportsbooks this season.
Nationals Last 10 Games Trend
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Mets Probable Pitcher – Kodai Senga
- When Senga starts, his team is 6-12-0 against the spread this season.
- The right-hander’s last start was on Friday, when he tossed 3 1/3 innings while giving up two earned runs on three hits in a matchup with the Boston Red Sox.
- Senga has made 15 starts of five or more innings in 18 chances this season, and averages 5.5 frames when he pitches.
- He has three appearances this season with zero earned runs allowed out of his 18 chances this season.
- Senga’s team has been victorious in 62.5% of the games he’s started as the moneyline favorite with a record of 10-6.
- In games Senga has started, his team is 10-8.
- Games Senga has started this season hit the over four times in 18 chances.
Mets Relief Pitchers
Nationals Probable Pitcher – Josiah Gray
- Gray (7-8 with a 3.45 ERA and 98 strikeouts in 112 1/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Nationals, his 21st of the season.
- In his last outing on Saturday against the San Francisco Giants, the righty went seven innings, allowing one earned run while surrendering four hits.
- Gray is seeking his 10th straight appearance lasting five or more innings. He averages 5.6 frames per start.
- He has had two appearances this season in which he did not allow an earned run.
- The Nationals have an 8-11 record in Gray’s 19 starts this season when they were the underdog on the moneyline.
- Gray’s team has a 9-11 record in his starts this season.
- Gray’s starts with a set total this season have gone over the run total in 10 of 20 games.
Nationals Relief Pitchers
Mets Hitting Trends
- The Mets have an 18-15 record this season in games when they smash at least two homers.
- New York has gone 12-4 in its 16 games this season with at least five extra-base hits.
- The team has racked up eight or more hits in 56 games this season, and is 36-20 in those contests.
- New York is 36-16 in games this season when it scored five or more runs.
- The Mets are 13-10 in games this season when they have drawn at least five walks.
Nationals Hitting Trends
- They have won 15 of the 24 games this season in which they hit two or more home runs.
- Washington has won 13 of its 17 games with five or more extra-base hits this season.
- They have won 36 of the 70 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
- Washington has won 30 of its 42 games this season in which it scored more than four runs.
- They have won nine of their 19 games this season in which they’ve drawn more than four free passes.
Mets vs. Nationals Prediction
Moneyline Pick: Mets (-200)
Over/Under Pick: Under (9)
Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.
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