Mets vs. Phillies Prediction: MLB Betting Lines & Picks

The New York Mets (27-27) will look to Francisco Alvarez, currently on a two-game homer streak, versus the Philadelphia Phillies (25-28) at 7:10 PM ET on Tuesday, at Citi Field.

The Mets are a home favorite (-150) against the Phillies (+128). The total for the game is set at 8.5 total runs.

The betting facts in the article below use the latest odds as of May 30, 2023 at 7:17 PM ET. Ready to bet?

Mets vs Phillies Betting Lines

Mets Betting Insights

• This season, the Mets have been favored 37 times and won 19, or 51.4%, of those games.
• New York has a record of 9-14 in games when oddsmakers favor them by at least -150 on the moneyline.
• The Mets have a 60% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
• New York and its opponents have gone over the total this season in 22 of 47 opportunities.
• The Mets have an ATS record of 14-33-0 in 47 games with a spread this season.

Mets Last 10 Games Trend

Phillies Betting Insights

• The Phillies have been chosen as underdogs in 15 games this year and have walked away with the win seven times (46.7%) in those games.
• This season, Philadelphia has been victorious one time in four chances when named as an underdog of at least +128 or worse on the moneyline.
• The moneyline set for this matchup implies the Phillies have a 43.9% chance of walking away with the win.
• Philadelphia and its opponents have hit the over in 21 of its 46 games with a total set by oddsmakers this season.
• The Phillies are 21-25-0 against the spread in their 46 games that had a posted line this season.

Phillies Last 10 Games Trend

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Mets Probable Pitcher – Kodai Senga

• Senga and his team are 3-5-0 ATS this season when he starts.
• The right-hander gave up three earned runs in five innings pitched on Wednesday in his last outing, a matchup with the Chicago Cubs.
• Senga will look to finish five or more innings for the seventh start in a row.
• Senga’s team has won 71.4% of his starts when they are favored on the moneyline (5-2).
• Senga’s team has won six of his nine starts this season.
• In Senga’s eight starts with a total, the teams have hit the over three times.

Mets Relief Pitchers

Phillies Probable Pitcher – Ranger Suarez

• Suarez (0-1 with a 9.82 ERA and 13 strikeouts in 11 2/3 innings pitched) gets the start for the Phillies, his fourth of the season.
• His last appearance was on Wednesday against the Arizona Diamondbacks, when the left-hander threw five innings, surrendering five earned runs while allowing five hits.
• Suarez is trying to pick up his second start of five or more innings this year in this matchup.
• The Phillies have not been a moneyline underdog when Suarez starts this season.
• Suarez’s team has won two of his three starts.
• Suarez has started three games with a total set by sportsbooks this season. The teams have combined to go over the run total in two of them.

Phillies Relief Pitchers

Mets Hitting Trends

• The Mets have hit two or more homers in 16 games this season, and are 9-7 in those contests.
• New York has gone 5-3 in its eight games this season with five or more extra-base hits.
• The club is 23-11 in the games this season it has racked up at least eight hits.
• New York is 24-8 in games this season when it put up five or more runs.
• The Mets have drawn at least five walks in 11 games this season, and are 7-4 in those contests.

Phillies Hitting Trends

• They’ve hit two or more homers in 15 games this season and are 10-5 in those matchups.
• Philadelphia has gone 11-3 this season when collecting five or more extra-base hits as a team.
• They have won 22 of the 37 games in which they’ve collected eight or more hits this season.
• Philadelphia has a 20-3 record this season when scoring five or more runs in a game.
• In 18 games this season with five or more walks drawn, they’ve posted a record of 13-5

Mets vs. Phillies Prediction

Moneyline Pick: Mets (-150)
Over/Under Pick: Under (8.5)

Predictions are calculated by a data-driven algorithm derived from offensive performance metrics and probable starting pitchers.

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