Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks odds, tips and betting trends
The Dallas Mavericks (18-13) will turn to Luka Doncic (33.7 points per game, second in NBA) when they attempt to beat Anthony Edwards (25.2, 15th) and the Minnesota Timberwolves (22-7) on Thursday, December 28, 2023 at Target Center. It begins at 8:00 PM ET on BSNX and BSSW.
The Timberwolves are a 9.5-point favorite against the Mavericks when the Timberwolves and the Mavericks meet. The matchup’s over/under is set at 228.
Timberwolves vs. Mavericks Betting Odds
BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Thursday at 3:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub.
- Spread: Minnesota -9.5
- Total: 228
- Moneyline: Minnesota -428, Dallas +333
- Pick ATS: Mavericks (+ 9.5)
- Pick OU:
Over (228)
- Prediction:
Timberwolves 118 – Mavericks 110
- Minnesota has been victorious in 18, or 90%, of the 20 contests it has been chosen as favorites in this season.
- Minnesota has yet to lose in four games when named as at least a -428 moneyline favorite.
- Minnesota has an implied victory probability of 81.1% according to the moneyline set by oddsmakers for this matchup.
- Dallas has put together a 3-8 record in games it was listed as the moneyline underdog (winning 27.3% of those games).
- Dallas has yet to play as a moneyline underdog of +333 or longer.
- Based on this contest’s moneyline, Dallas’ implied win probability is 23.1%.
- The Timberwolves put up 113.3 points per game, just 4.3 fewer points than the 117.6 the Mavericks give up.
- Minnesota has a 7-2 record against the spread and a 9-0 record overall when putting up more than 117.6 points.
- Dallas is 15-10 against the spread and 17-8 overall when it scores more than 107.3 points.
- Minnesota’s record is 15-4-3 against the spread and 21-1 overall when it allows fewer than 119 points.
- The Timberwolves are the NBA’s 20th-ranked scoring team (113.3 PPG), while the Mavericks rank 21st in points per game allowed (117.6) in the league.
- The seventh-ranked scoring NBA team (119 PPG) is Dallas, while the Minnesota squad ranks first in the league defensively (107.3 PPG).
- The Timberwolves have totaled 172 more points than their opponents this season (six per game on average), and the Mavericks have scored 44 more points than their opponents (1.4 per game).
- Minnesota’s average implied point total this season is 4.7 fewer points than its implied total in Thursday’s game (114.3 implied points on average compared to 119 implied points in this game).
- So far this season, Minnesota has put up more than 119 points in a game eight times.
- Dallas’ average implied point total on the year (119.3 points) is 10.3 points higher than its implied total in this matchup (109 points).
- Game Day: Thursday, December 28, 2023
- Game Time: 8:00 PM ET
- TV Channel: BSNX and BSSW
- Location: Minneapolis, Minnesota
- Arena: Target Center
- TV Channel: Bally Sports
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