MLB Predictions & Odds 4/6/23

San Diego Padres (3-3) vs. Atlanta Braves (5-1)
April 6, 2023 7:20 pm EDT
The Line: Atlanta Braves -165 / San Diego Padres +140; Over/Under: +7.5
(Get latest betting odds)

The San Diego Padres and the Atlanta Braves meet in MLB action from Truist Park on Thursday night. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Atlanta is listed as a -165 home favorite while San Diego is a +140 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 7.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Blake Snell is listed as San Diego’s starter here and is 0-1 with a 6.23 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season. Spencer Strider is listed as the starter for the Braves and is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and 9 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

San Diego’s 7-3 win back on May 15, 2022 made it three wins in the last four head-to-head meetings between these two teams.

Trends

San Diego is 1-4 in their last 5 road games and 7-3 in their last 10 games following a loss while the over is 4-0-1 in their last 5 series-opening games. Atlanta is 43-19 in their last 62 games overall and 35-16 in their last 51 games against a left-handed starter while the under is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall.

Pick

I’m rolling with the Braves here. The Padres are a solid team and Snell wasn’t bad in his debut, but I have a feeling that Spencer Strider could be the ace of this Braves rotation by the end of the year. He strikes out a ton of batters and with the power in this Padres lineup, a lot of the Padres can be swing happy. I like this Braves lineup a lot and think Atlanta gets the win here.