MNF Week 15 Best Bets: Picks, Predictions, Odds to Consider on DraftKings Sportsbook for Eagles vs. Seahawks
The Monday work day is done. It’s time for Monday Night Football. DraftKings Sportsbook is here to make this special night even more special. Check out the NFL best bets for the Week 15 Monday Night Football matchup. The action kicks off with theSeattle Seahawkshosting the Philadelphia Eagles at 8:15 p.m. ET.
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Seattle Seahawks
Philadelphia Eagles -4 (-110)
Is it time to hit the panic button in Philly? The Eagles have lost two games in a row. Those losses were to the best two teams in the NFL. Those losses were bad losses. The Eagles could be a Super Bowl contender if they were in the AFC. They’re not in the AFC. Even if they were, they would lose Super Bowl LVIII to the 49ers or Cowboys. It is time to panic if a championship is the priority. For DraftKings Sportsbook users, only this week matters. The Monday Night Football matchup with the Seattle Seahawks is the priority. There is no reason to panic over a trip to Seattle.
The Eagles are 10-1 against teams not from San Francisco or Dallas. In those 11 games, they were favored to win 10 times and won nine of those games. They covered the spread six times. That’s not the best line, but the Eagles are 3-1-1 ATS as road favorites this season. This week’s line is not very large due to the Eagles’ recent struggles with elite teams and the uncertainty in Seattle. The Seahawks can lay an egg or soar. Philly’s benighted pass defense could open up the Seattle air attack. There is also the possibility that the Seahawks could revert to the team that forgot how to score touchdowns. The only time the Seahawks have been home underdogs this season was the Thanksgiving Day matchup with the 49ers. They lost 31-13.
The Eagles aren’t the 49ers, but they are in the elite category. Speaking of the elite, the Seahawks are well acquainted with this category. They have lost five of their last six games, and four were losses to the elite (Baltimore, Dallas and twice to San Francisco). Their schedule does not let up this week. The Seahawks are beaten down and likely broken at this point. After Seattle failed to cover five of the seven games leading into week 13, they were generously spotted 9.5 point against Dallas and 14.5 against San Francisco. They were able to cover both, but it wasn’t easy. This week, DraftKings Sportsbook is much more stingy with the points.
Neither team is in great shape. Both defenses have their weaknesses. However, on the offensive end, the Eagles’ unforgivable sin is that they are failing to live up to lofty expectations. The Seahawks may be starting a backup quarterback or a sporadic starter. The Eagles aren’t far from returning to Super Bowl form on the offensive end. One fewer fumble and a small break for their receivers completely changes the perception of their Week 14 loss to the Cowboys. This spread is too small for a team that is close to complete vs. a team that seems defeated.
Weekly Specials
A.J. Brown and Tyler Lockett to Combine for +15 Receptions (+350)
The yardage total for these two receivers is more appealing, but that’s not the Weekly Special. The special is receptions. A safe yardage wager would come with less juice. More juice works. A +350 bet is not safe, but it’s not roulette. Both receivers are elite and the game environment should lend itself to more passing situations.
The total for the Monday Night Football matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and Seattle Seahawks is 47.5. That’s not the highest of totals, but it does imply that this will be a high-scoring game with plenty of offense. That’s been a bit of a rare occurrence in prime-time games this season. Sportsbooks have been burned by unders in 2023, especially in prime-time games. The reasonable position would be to set the over/under line low. That did not happen because the DraftKings Sportsbook — that knows more than anyone — believes that the offenses will take advantage of these lackluster defenses.
In particular, both teams struggle to defend the pass. Both teams rank in the bottom-10 in yards and receptions allowed. The Eagles have allowed the most receptions in the NFL. That is particularly appealing given that this is a reception bet and that Tyler Lockett has not been a volume monster this season. Lockett’s numbers have been acceptable lately given the tough matchups. The last time he faced an inferior secondary, he caught eight passes against the Washington Commanders — they’ve allowed the most receiving yards this season.
If Lockett gets a slight boost, then A.J. Brown just needs to be A.J. Brown. In each of the last two weeks, he’s been targeted 13 times. The return of Dallas Goedert has meant less double teams for Brown. Jalen Hurts knows this. He makes Brown a priority and forces the ball to the Eagles’ star receiver.
There is the slight concern that the Eagles could keep the ball on the ground. Seattle also struggles to defend the run. The Eagles are in the top 5 in rush attempts this season, but their 4.1 yards per carry sits around the league average. The tush push affects that average, but the truth is that D’Andre Swift hasn’t been very explosive of late. They can continue to run him into the ground and run him down as the playoffs approach. The alternative would be to save his legs and put the ball in the air.
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I am a promoter at DraftKings and am also an avid fan and user (my username is greenflagradio2) and may sometimes play on my personal account in the games that I offer advice on. Although I have expressed my personal view on the games and strategies above, they do not necessarily reflect the view(s) of DraftKings and do not constitute a representation that any particular strategy will guarantee success. All customers should use their own skill and judgment in building lineups. I may also deploy different players and strategies than what I recommend above. I am not an employee of DraftKings and do not have access to any non-public information.
